AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Super League Greece
OFI CreteOFI CreteWDLLW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1117:00UK
AtromitosAtromitosDDLLL

OFI Crete vs Atromitos cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined73.8%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined26.2%

Model read

A clear lean on the model's numbers.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Strong

Over 3.5 cards73.8%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for OFI Crete vs Atromitos. The model leans toward Atromitos for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 87.7% 12.3%
3.5 cards 73.8% 26.2%
4.5 cards 56.3% 43.7%
5.5 cards 38.8% 61.2%

Who picks up more cards

OFI Crete
31.1%
Level
17.8%
Atromitos
51.1%

Team cards lines

OFI Crete

Over 1.5
65.0%
Over 2.5
38.3%

Atromitos

Over 1.5
76.9%
Over 2.5
53.1%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is OFI Crete's; Atromitos gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

OFI Crete line OFI Crete Atromitos
-1.5 17.0% 83.0%
-0.5 31.1% 68.9%
+0.5 48.9% 51.1%
+1.5 66.7% 33.3%

Red card

Any red card18.8%
OFI Crete red card14.9%
Atromitos red card4.6%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 93.4% 6.6%
22.5 fouls 87.5% 12.5%
24.5 fouls 79.0% 21.0%
OFI CreteOFI Crete

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means OFI Crete at home and Atromitos away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

AtromitosAtromitos
Statistic
OFI Crete
Atromitos
Yellow cards per game
1.6
2.8

First-half yellow cards per game
0.3
·

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.3
·

Matches with card data
3
4

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,950Matches graded

In 8,516 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Cards actually happened 73.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.6%✗ 50.7%✗ 51.1%✓ 52.0%✓ 54.1%✓ 50.1%✓ 54.7%✗ 63.6%✗ 51.1%✗ 52.8%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 3.5 50.6%Hit
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 3.5 50.7%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Over 3.5 51.1%Miss
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 3.5 52.0%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 3.5 54.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 73.8%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 87.7% for over 2.5 to 38.8% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 56.3%. Between the two sides, Atromitos are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 51.1%, with a level count at 17.8%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, OFI Crete over 1.5 cards sits at 65.0% and Atromitos at 76.9%. A red card for either side is rated at 18.8% (OFI Crete 14.9%, Atromitos 4.6%).

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

73.8%Over 3.5 cards
18.8%Any red card
51.1%Most cards: Atromitos
65.0%OFI Crete over 1.5 cards
76.9%Atromitos over 1.5 cards
87.5%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 73.8% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 18.8%, unlikely, and priced as such.
The DisciplinarianAtromitos are the pick to collect more cards at 51.1%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 4.5 cards: over sits at 56.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
OFI CreteOFI Crete

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AtromitosAtromitos
Statistic
OFI Crete
Atromitos
fouls per game
11.7
15.7

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in OFI Crete vs Atromitos?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 73.8% for OFI Crete vs Atromitos.
Will there be a red card in OFI Crete vs Atromitos?
The model rates a red card for either side at 18.8%.
Which team will pick up more cards in OFI Crete vs Atromitos?
The model rates Atromitos to pick up more cards at 51.1%, with a level count at 17.8%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Super League GreeceOFI Crete fixtures and statsAtromitos fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.