AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

2. Bundesliga
NurnbergNurnbergDWWDD
Full time0-1Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1019:30UK
KaiserslauternKaiserslauternWLWDW

Nurnberg 0-1 Kaiserslautern corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.6%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.4%

Result

Nurnberg0-1Kaiserslautern
14 cornersNurnberg 11, Kaiserslautern 3
Over 9.5

We called Over 9.5 at 56.6% and it landed (14 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.6%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Nurnberg.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.8% 21.2%
8.5 corners 68.3% 31.7%
9.5 corners 56.6% 43.4%
10.5 corners 44.8% 55.2%
11.5 corners 33.8% 66.2%
12.5 corners 24.3% 75.7%

Who wins the corner count

Nurnberg
52.1%
Level
10.7%
Kaiserslautern
37.3%

Team corners lines

Nurnberg

Over 3.5
76.3%
Over 4.5
61.5%
Over 5.5
46.0%

Kaiserslautern

Over 3.5
67.4%
Over 4.5
50.5%
Over 5.5
34.9%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Nurnberg's; Kaiserslautern gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Nurnberg line Nurnberg Kaiserslautern
-1.5 41.3% 58.7%
-0.5 52.1% 47.9%
+0.5 62.7% 37.3%
+1.5 72.5% 27.5%
NurnbergNurnberg

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Nurnberg at home and Kaiserslautern away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

KaiserslauternKaiserslautern
Statistic
Nurnberg
Kaiserslautern
Corners won per game at this venue
5.0
3.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.0
5.7

Matches with more corners than the opponent
20.0%
40.0%

Matches with corner data
5
5

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 56.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 78.8% for over 7.5 to 24.3% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.8%. Between the two sides, Nurnberg are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.1%, with a level count at 10.7%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Nurnberg over 4.5 corners sits at 61.5% and Kaiserslautern at 50.5%. This season Nurnberg have averaged 5.2 corners won a game and Kaiserslautern 4.6.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

56.6%Over 9.5 corners
52.1%Most corners: Nurnberg
61.5%Nurnberg over 4.5 corners
50.5%Kaiserslautern over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.6% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderNurnberg are the pick to win the corner count at 52.1%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 44.8%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
NurnbergNurnberg

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

KaiserslauternKaiserslautern
Statistic
Nurnberg
Kaiserslautern
corners won per game
5.2
4.6

corners conceded per game
6.0
6.2

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 56.6% for Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern.
Which team will win the corner count in Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern?
Before kickoff, the model rated Nurnberg to win the corner count at 52.1%, with a level count at 10.7%.
How many corners do Nurnberg and Kaiserslautern average this season?
Nurnberg have won 5.2 corners a game this season and Kaiserslautern 4.6.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More 2. Bundesliga, Corners

Bielefeld vs Braunschweig corners predictionCottbus vs Bochum corners predictionDarmstadt vs Magdeburg corners predictionKaiserslautern vs Hertha corners predictionWolfsburg vs Osnabruck corners predictionKarlsruhe vs Heidenheim corners prediction

Corner predictions today

Related

2. BundesligaNurnberg fixtures and statsKaiserslautern fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.