AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

Ligue 2
NancyNancyLLWWW
Full time1-0Fri, 23 Oct 202623/1019:00UK
LavalLavalLLDLD

Nancy 1-0 Laval corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined57.6%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined42.4%

Result

Nancy1-0Laval
9 cornersNancy 4, Laval 5
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 57.6% and it landed (9 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners42.4%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Nancy.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 67.1% 32.9%
8.5 corners 54.7% 45.3%
9.5 corners 42.4% 57.6%
10.5 corners 31.2% 68.8%
11.5 corners 21.8% 78.2%
12.5 corners 14.5% 85.5%

Who wins the corner count

Nancy
53.5%
Level
11.2%
Laval
35.3%

Team corners lines

Nancy

Over 3.5
69.4%
Over 4.5
53.3%
Over 5.5
37.9%

Laval

Over 3.5
56.8%
Over 4.5
39.4%
Over 5.5
25.1%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Nancy's; Laval gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Nancy line Nancy Laval
-1.5 42.0% 58.0%
-0.5 53.5% 46.5%
+0.5 64.7% 35.3%
+1.5 74.8% 25.2%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 29 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 42.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 67.1% for over 7.5 to 14.5% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.7%. Between the two sides, Nancy are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.5%, with a level count at 11.2%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

42.4%Over 9.5 corners
53.5%Most corners: Nancy
53.3%Nancy over 4.5 corners
39.4%Laval over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

By team, Nancy over 4.5 corners sits at 53.3% and Laval at 39.4%.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 42.4% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderNancy are the pick to win the corner count at 53.5%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 54.7%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many corners in Nancy vs Laval?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 42.4% for Nancy vs Laval.
Which team will win the corner count in Nancy vs Laval?
Before kickoff, the model rated Nancy to win the corner count at 53.5%, with a level count at 11.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Corners

Grenoble vs Dijon corners predictionLaval vs Boulogne corners predictionMetz vs Pau FC corners predictionNantes vs Clermont corners predictionRodez vs Dunkerque corners predictionAnnecy vs Montpellier corners prediction

Corner predictions today

Related

Ligue 2Nancy fixtures and statsLaval fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.