Nancy 1-0 Guingamp corners: our prediction vs the result
Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.
Result
Nancy1-0Guingamp
We called Under 9.5 at 60.8% and it landed (8 in the match).
Model read
A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.
Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.
Conviction: Moderate
Over 9.5 corners39.2%
Corners
Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.
The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Nancy.
Total corners
Both teams combined.
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 64.1% | 35.9% |
| 8.5 corners | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| 9.5 corners | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| 10.5 corners | 28.3% | 71.7% |
| 11.5 corners | 19.5% | 80.5% |
| 12.5 corners | 12.8% | 87.2% |
Who wins the corner count
NancyGuingampTeam corners lines
Nancy
Guingamp
Corner handicap
The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Nancy's; Guingamp gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.
| Nancy line | Nancy | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| -0.5 | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| +0.5 | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| +1.5 | 72.5% | 27.5% |
Corner trends
2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Nancy at home and Guingamp away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.
Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 3,460 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 39.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 64.1% for over 7.5 to 12.8% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 51.4%. Between the two sides, Nancy are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 50.5%, with a level count at 11.5%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.
In-depth analysis
For the team lines, Nancy over 4.5 corners sits at 49.0% and Guingamp at 39.5%. This season Nancy have averaged 4.0 corners won a game and Guingamp 4.0.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
This season
2026/27 · Recorded results.
Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
FAQ
How many corners in Nancy vs Guingamp?
Which team will win the corner count in Nancy vs Guingamp?
How many corners do Nancy and Guingamp average this season?
How is this probability calculated?
Is this a betting tip?
More Ligue 2, Corners
Related
Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
