Primeira Liga
MaritimoMaritimoDLLLD
Full time1-2Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1018:00UK
PortoPortoWWWWW

Maritimo 1-2 Porto both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No55.6%
Both teams to score: Yes44.4%

Result

Maritimo1-2Porto
2 goals before half-timeMaritimo 1, Porto 1
NoYes

We called No at 55.6% and it missed. We called Yes at 76.2% and it landed (2 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No55.6%

Both Teams to Score

Yes44.4%
NoModel lean55.6%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 52.3%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Maritimo scored
1.0
Maritimo conceded
2.2
Porto scored
2.8
Porto conceded
0.6

Each team to score

Maritimo to score50.3%
Maritimo 2+ goals15.6%
Porto to score87.4%
Porto 2+ goals61.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half14.9%
Both score in 2nd half24.0%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.7%

0

16.5%

1

24.5%

2

22.2%

3

15.4%

4

12.8%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

MaritimoBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5
PortoBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

MaritimoMaritimoLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-3
D
Draw · 1-1

0 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses

PortoPortoLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 4-1
W
Win · 3-1

5 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0MaritimoMaritimo wins
1Draws
4PortoPorto wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
MaritimoMaritimo
0 – 2
PortoPorto
PortoPorto
5 – 1
MaritimoMaritimo
PortoPorto
2 – 1
MaritimoMaritimo
MaritimoMaritimo
1 – 1
PortoPorto
MaritimoMaritimo
1 – 2
PortoPorto

Match outlook

Maritimo11.1%
Draw20.1%
PickPorto68.8%

The model leans Porto to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 26,174 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · No at 55.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Maritimo have averaged 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded, Porto 2.8 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 52.3% for over 2.5 and 76.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. Maritimo have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Porto in 3 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 52.3% for three or more goals and 76.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Porto favoured at 68.8%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

68.8%Favoured: Porto
44.4%Both Teams to Score
52.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 55.6% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 52.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPorto are the model’s pick on the result at 68.8%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
MaritimoMaritimo

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

PortoPorto
Statistic
Maritimo
Porto
BTTS rate
71.4%
50.0%

clean sheets
14.3%
50.0%

goals scored per game
1.1
2.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Maritimo vs Porto?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 44.4%. Both teams scored, final score 1-2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Primeira Liga, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.