La Liga
Malaga vs 
Espanol Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 52.9%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Malaga have averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded, Espanol 1.2 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 47.4% for over 2.5 and 73.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Malaga have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Espanol in 4 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.6
1.8
1.2
1.4
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
50.0%Malaga BTTS rate16.7%Malaga clean sheets
0.5Malaga goals scored per game71.4%Espanol BTTS rate28.6%Espanol clean sheets1.4Espanol goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
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5+
In-depth analysis
We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
52.9%Both Teams to Score47.4%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 47.4% for three or more goals and 73.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Malaga favoured at 39.1%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Malaga to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Malaga 0 · 2 draws · Espanol 3 · 2.6 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Malaga vs Espanol?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 52.9% for Malaga vs Espanol.
Will Malaga score against Espanol?
The model rates Malaga to score at 73.3% and Espanol to score at 71.3%.
How often have Malaga seen both teams score recently?
Malaga have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Espanol in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 26,677 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More La Liga, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
