La Liga
La Coruna vs 
Betis Double Chance
Part of a bigger picture: see the full match page, where this comes from.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Home or Away at 74.0%, its strongest read on the Double Chance market. For context, Betis are favoured at 45.7%, a competitive game that shapes how this market plays out. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Double Chance
Draw no bet
Draw no bet: the draw is taken out and the remaining probability is split between the two sides.
Winning margin
| Margin | Probability |
|---|---|
| La Coruna by 1 | 16.9% |
| La Coruna by 2 | 8.4% |
| La Coruna by 3+ | 4.0% |
| Betis by 1 | 21.7% |
| Betis by 2 | 13.6% |
| Betis by 3+ | 9.1% |
| Draw | 26.0% |
Goal handicap
| La Coruna line | La Coruna | Betis |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12.4% | 87.6% |
| -0.5 | 29.3% | 70.7% |
| +0.5 | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| +1.5 | 77.3% | 22.7% |
This season (2026/27)
1.5La Coruna goals scored per game1.2La Coruna goals conceded per game1.3Betis goals scored per game1.0Betis goals conceded per gameDouble chance is the cautious read on the result market. The highest-probability cover is La Coruna or Betis on the model numbers.
In-depth analysis
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
55.9%Both Teams to Score52.2%Over 2.5 goalsOn the result, Betis are favoured at 45.7%. We lean on calibration, not the favourite tag.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: La Coruna 0 · 3 draws · Betis 2 · 2.0 goals/game.
FAQ
What is the most likely double chance in La Coruna vs Betis?
Home or Away is the highest-probability double chance for La Coruna vs Betis at 74.0%.
What is the draw no bet probability in La Coruna vs Betis?
With the draw taken out, the model rates La Coruna at 39.8% and Betis at 60.3%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Double Chance accuracy
How our Double Chance calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 40,105 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Double Chance actually happened 73.4% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 18 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Double Chance calls
The model’s most recent graded Double Chance predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More La Liga, Double Chance
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
