AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 13 Oct 2026

Super League Greece
IraklisIraklisLDWDD
Full time2-0Sun, 11 Oct 202611/1015:00UK
LevadeiakosLevadeiakosLLLDL

Iraklis 2-0 Levadeiakos corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined64.2%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined35.8%

Result

Iraklis2-0Levadeiakos
4 cornersIraklis 2, Levadeiakos 2
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 64.2% and it landed (4 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners35.8%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Iraklis.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 61.0% 39.0%
8.5 corners 48.0% 52.0%
9.5 corners 35.8% 64.2%
10.5 corners 25.3% 74.7%
11.5 corners 17.0% 83.0%
12.5 corners 10.8% 89.2%

Who wins the corner count

Iraklis
56.0%
Level
11.0%
Levadeiakos
33.1%

Team corners lines

Iraklis

Over 3.5
66.7%
Over 4.5
50.6%
Over 5.5
35.7%

Levadeiakos

Over 3.5
49.7%
Over 4.5
32.9%
Over 5.5
20.0%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Iraklis's; Levadeiakos gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Iraklis line Iraklis Levadeiakos
-3.5 24.2% 75.8%
-1.5 44.6% 55.4%
-0.5 56.0% 44.0%
+0.5 66.9% 33.1%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 3,460 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 35.8%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 61.0% for over 7.5 to 10.8% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.0%. Head to head on corners, Iraklis are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.0%, with a level count at 11.0%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Iraklis over 4.5 corners sits at 50.6% and Levadeiakos at 32.9%. This season Iraklis have averaged 2.6 corners won a game and Levadeiakos 4.4.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

35.8%Over 9.5 corners
56.0%Most corners: Iraklis
50.6%Iraklis over 4.5 corners
32.9%Levadeiakos over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 35.8% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderIraklis are the pick to win the corner count at 56.0%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 48.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
IraklisIraklis

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

LevadeiakosLevadeiakos
Statistic
Iraklis
Levadeiakos
corners won per game
2.6
4.4

corners conceded per game
4.2
5.6

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Iraklis vs Levadeiakos?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 35.8% for Iraklis vs Levadeiakos.
Which team will win the corner count in Iraklis vs Levadeiakos?
Before kickoff, the model rated Iraklis to win the corner count at 56.0%, with a level count at 11.0%.
How many corners do Iraklis and Levadeiakos average this season?
Iraklis have won 2.6 corners a game this season and Levadeiakos 4.4.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Super League GreeceIraklis fixtures and statsLevadeiakos fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.