2. Bundesliga
Holstein KielHolstein KielDLDLD
Full time3-0Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1012:30UK
DresdenDresdenLDLDW

Holstein Kiel 3-0 Dresden both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes54.8%
Both teams to score: No45.2%

Result

Holstein Kiel3-0Dresden
1 goals before half-timeHolstein Kiel 1, Dresden 0
YesYes

We called Yes at 54.8% and it missed. We called Yes at 73.7% and it landed (1 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes54.8%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean54.8%
No45.2%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 50.2%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Holstein Kiel scored
0.6
Holstein Kiel conceded
1.0
Dresden scored
1.4
Dresden conceded
1.4

Each team to score

Holstein Kiel to score76.2%
Holstein Kiel 2+ goals42.1%
Dresden to score71.1%
Dresden 2+ goals35.3%

By half

Both score in 1st half23.7%
Both score in 2nd half23.7%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.5%

0

17.2%

1

25.2%

2

22.0%

3

14.7%

4

12.9%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Holstein KielBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 1/5
DresdenBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Holstein KielHolstein KielLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 0-0

0 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses

DresdenDresdenLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-0

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Holstein KielHolstein Kiel wins
1Draws
1DresdenDresden wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
DresdenDresden
2 – 1
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
2 – 1
DresdenDresden
DresdenDresden
0 – 0
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
2 – 1
DresdenDresden
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
2 – 0
DresdenDresden

Match outlook

PickHolstein Kiel41.0%
Draw27.0%
Dresden32.0%

The model leans Holstein Kiel to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,250Matches graded

In 34,669 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✓ 55.9%✗ 50.1%✗ 63.1%✗ 54.9%✓ 51.2%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Yes 50.4%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28No 55.9%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Yes 50.1%Miss
Brommapojkarna vs Hacken2026-10-28Yes 63.1%Miss
Degerfors vs Vasteras SK2026-10-28Yes 54.9%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 54.8%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Holstein Kiel have averaged 0.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, Dresden 1.4 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.2% for over 2.5 and 75.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. Holstein Kiel have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Dresden in 4 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 50.2% for three or more goals and 75.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Holstein Kiel favoured at 41.0%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

41.0%Favoured: Holstein Kiel
54.8%Both Teams to Score
50.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 54.8% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 50.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutHolstein Kiel are the model’s pick on the result at 41.0%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

DresdenDresden
Statistic
Holstein Kiel
Dresden
BTTS rate
50.0%
62.5%

clean sheets
12.5%
25.0%

goals scored per game
0.9
1.4

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Dresden?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 54.8%. Both teams did not both score, final score 3-0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More 2. Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.