AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 31 Oct 2026

2. Bundesliga
Holstein KielHolstein KielLDLDW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1112:00UK
BielefeldBielefeldDWWLW

Holstein Kiel vs Bielefeld corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined60.6%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined39.4%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners60.6%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Holstein Kiel.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 81.5% 18.5%
8.5 corners 71.8% 28.2%
9.5 corners 60.6% 39.4%
10.5 corners 48.9% 51.1%
11.5 corners 37.7% 62.3%
12.5 corners 27.7% 72.3%

Who wins the corner count

Holstein Kiel
48.7%
Level
10.6%
Bielefeld
40.7%

Team corners lines

Holstein Kiel

Over 3.5
76.5%
Over 4.5
61.7%
Over 5.5
46.2%

Bielefeld

Over 3.5
71.9%
Over 4.5
55.9%
Over 5.5
40.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Holstein Kiel's; Bielefeld gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Holstein Kiel line Holstein Kiel Bielefeld
-1.5 38.2% 61.8%
-0.5 48.7% 51.3%
+0.5 59.3% 40.7%
+1.5 69.2% 30.8%
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Holstein Kiel at home and Bielefeld away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

BielefeldBielefeld
Statistic
Holstein Kiel
Bielefeld
Corners won per game at this venue
6.5
6.5

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.0
4.8

First-half corners won per game
3.3
2.5

Second-half corners won per game
1.6
3.4

Matches with more corners than the opponent
50.0%
37.5%

Matches with corner data
8
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 1,506 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Corners actually happened 62.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 60.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 81.5% for over 7.5 to 27.7% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.9%. Head to head on corners, Holstein Kiel are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 48.7%, with a level count at 10.6%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Holstein Kiel over 4.5 corners sits at 61.7% and Bielefeld at 55.9%. This season Holstein Kiel have averaged 5.5 corners won a game and Bielefeld 5.9.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

60.6%Over 9.5 corners
48.7%Most corners: Holstein Kiel
61.7%Holstein Kiel over 4.5 corners
55.9%Bielefeld over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 60.6% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderHolstein Kiel are the pick to win the corner count at 48.7%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 48.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 10.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

BielefeldBielefeld
Statistic
Holstein Kiel
Bielefeld
corners won per game
5.5
5.9

corners conceded per game
4.9
5.0

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Holstein Kiel vs Bielefeld?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 60.6% for Holstein Kiel vs Bielefeld.
Which team will win the corner count in Holstein Kiel vs Bielefeld?
The model rates Holstein Kiel to win the corner count at 48.7%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Holstein Kiel and Bielefeld average this season?
Holstein Kiel have won 5.5 corners a game this season and Bielefeld 5.9.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

2. BundesligaHolstein Kiel fixtures and statsBielefeld fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.