Hertha vs Greuther Furth prediction & probabilities (2026-10-10)

2. Bundesliga

Hertha vs Greuther Furth Both Teams to Score

2026-10-10 · 12:30
Both Teams to Score61.6%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 61.6%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.
62%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 61.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Hertha have averaged 3.2 scored and 1.4 conceded, Greuther Furth 1.6 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 63.3% for over 2.5 and 84.2% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. Hertha have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 5, Greuther Furth in 4 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes61.6%

No38.4%

Over 2.5 · context63.3%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Hertha scored

3.2

Hertha conceded

1.4

Greuther Furth scored

1.6

Greuther Furth conceded

2.0

Each team to score

Hertha to score87.1%

Hertha 2+ goals60.8%

Greuther Furth to score70.2%

Greuther Furth 2+ goals34.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half25.3%

Both score in 2nd half33.5%

This season (2026/27)

85.7%Hertha BTTS rate
14.3%Hertha clean sheets
2.7Hertha goals scored per game
83.3%Greuther Furth BTTS rate
0.0%Greuther Furth clean sheets
1.5Greuther Furth goals scored per game

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.3%

0

11.5%

1

20.8%

2

22.1%

3

18.1%

4

21.1%

5+

In-depth analysis

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

56.3%Favoured: Hertha
61.6%Both Teams to Score
63.3%Over 2.5 goals

Looking at totals, the model sees 63.3% for three or more goals and 84.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Hertha favoured at 56.3%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 61.6% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 63.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutHertha are the model’s pick on the result at 56.3%, a lean on probability, never on price.

Match outlook

Hertha56.3%

Draw22.1%

Greuther Furth21.6%

The model leans Hertha to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

HerthaWWWWW
Greuther FurthLWLDD

Last 5 meetings: Hertha 3 · 1 draws · Greuther Furth 1 · 3.2 goals/game.

Recent trends

HerthaBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 5/5
Greuther FurthBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 2/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Hertha vs Greuther Furth?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 61.6% for Hertha vs Greuther Furth.

Will Hertha score against Greuther Furth?
The model rates Hertha to score at 87.1% and Greuther Furth to score at 70.2%.

How often have Hertha seen both teams score recently?
Hertha have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 5, Greuther Furth in 4 of 5.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,617Matches graded

In 5,795 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 61.8%✗ 54.5%✗ 51.3%✓ 55.8%✗ 67.4%✗ 62.0%✓ 64.5%✓ 60.1%✓ 59.0%✓ 55.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool2026-09-20Yes 61.8%Miss
Leeds vs Crystal Palace2026-09-20Yes 54.5%Miss
Manchester City vs Sunderland2026-09-20No 51.3%Miss
Fulham vs Manchester United2026-09-20Yes 55.8%Hit
Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2026-09-20Yes 67.4%Miss

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.