Primeira Liga
Guimaraes vs 
Moreirense Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 50.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Guimaraes have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Moreirense 1.0 and 2.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 45.8% for over 2.5 and 72.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.8 goals a game. Guimaraes have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Moreirense in 2 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.8
1.2
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2.2
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
33.3%Guimaraes BTTS rate33.3%Guimaraes clean sheets
0.7Guimaraes goals scored per game50.0%Moreirense BTTS rate12.5%Moreirense clean sheets1.3Moreirense goals scored per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
50.2%Both Teams to Score45.8%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 45.8% for three or more goals and 72.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Guimaraes favoured at 46.8%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Guimaraes to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Guimaraes 3 · 1 draws · Moreirense 1 · 1.8 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Guimaraes vs Moreirense?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 50.2% for Guimaraes vs Moreirense.
Will Guimaraes score against Moreirense?
The model rates Guimaraes to score at 77.1% and Moreirense to score at 64.3%.
How often have Guimaraes seen both teams score recently?
Guimaraes have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Moreirense in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 26,677 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Primeira Liga, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
