Primeira Liga
Estoril vs 
Casa Pia Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · No at 50.3%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Estoril have averaged 0.2 scored and 1.4 conceded, Casa Pia 0.2 and 2.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 47.8% for over 2.5 and 73.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. Estoril have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Casa Pia in 1 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.2
1.4
0.2
2.8
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
33.3%Estoril BTTS rate16.7%Estoril clean sheets
0.3Estoril goals scored per game16.7%Casa Pia BTTS rate16.7%Casa Pia clean sheets0.2Casa Pia goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
49.7%Both Teams to Score47.8%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 47.8% for three or more goals and 73.5% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Estoril favoured at 53.5%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Estoril to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Estoril 1 · 3 draws · Casa Pia 1 · 2.0 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Estoril vs Casa Pia?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 49.7% for Estoril vs Casa Pia.
Will Estoril score against Casa Pia?
The model rates Estoril to score at 80.8% and Casa Pia to score at 60.8%.
How often have Estoril seen both teams score recently?
Estoril have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Casa Pia in 1 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Primeira Liga, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
