League Two
Fleetwood TownFleetwood TownLDWLL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:00UK
Bristol RvsBristol RvsLLLLD

Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.2%
1-0 correct score10.7%
2-1 correct score8.9%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.2%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Fleetwood Town goals, columns = Bristol Rvs goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.2%
  2. 1-010.7%
  3. 2-18.9%
  4. 0-08.7%
  5. 0-18.3%
  6. 2-08.0%
  7. 1-27.0%
  8. 0-25.0%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7% 8.3% 5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.7% 13.2% 7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8% 8.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.7% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Fleetwood Town · Columns: Bristol Rvs

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.7%

0

19.1%

1

26.2%

2

21.4%

3

13.5%

4

10.7%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Fleetwood TownFleetwoodLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 2-4
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Bristol RvsBristol RvsLast 5
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 0-0

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Fleetwood TownFleetwood wins
0Draws
1Bristol RvsBristol Rvs wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Bristol RvsBristol Rvs
1 – 0
Fleetwood TownFleetwood
Fleetwood TownFleetwood
2 – 1
Bristol RvsBristol Rvs

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 13.2% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Fleetwood Town have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, Bristol Rvs 0.6 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 46.1% for over 2.5 and 72.2% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 46.1% for three or more goals and 72.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Fleetwood Town favoured at 43.1%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

43.1%Favoured: Fleetwood Town
51.3%Both Teams to Score
46.1%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 46.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFleetwood Town are the model’s pick on the result at 43.1%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rvs?
The model's most likely scoreline for Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rvs is 1-1 at 13.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.