AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 3 Nov 2026

Serie A
FiorentinaFiorentinaLLLDW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1119:45UK12°C · Rain
JuventusJuventusDLWLW

Fiorentina vs Juventus corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined53.8%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined46.2%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners46.2%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Fiorentina.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 68.2% 31.8%
8.5 corners 57.2% 42.8%
9.5 corners 46.2% 53.8%
10.5 corners 36.0% 64.0%
11.5 corners 27.0% 73.0%
12.5 corners 19.6% 80.4%

Who wins the corner count

Fiorentina
50.2%
Level
10.2%
Juventus
39.6%

Team corners lines

Fiorentina

Over 3.5
66.9%
Over 4.5
52.1%
Over 5.5
38.4%

Juventus

Over 3.5
59.6%
Over 4.5
44.1%
Over 5.5
30.7%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Fiorentina's; Juventus gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Fiorentina line Fiorentina Juventus
-1.5 40.0% 60.0%
-0.5 50.2% 49.8%
+0.5 60.4% 39.6%
+1.5 69.9% 30.1%
FiorentinaFiorentina

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Fiorentina at home and Juventus away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

JuventusJuventus
Statistic
Fiorentina
Juventus
Corners won per game at this venue
6.8
8.6

Corners conceded per game at this venue
4.4
3.6

First-half corners won per game
2.0
4.4

Second-half corners won per game
3.1
3.8

Matches with more corners than the opponent
66.7%
70.0%

Matches with corner data
9
10

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0097Calibration error
51,092Matches graded

In 22,010 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 3 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 54.2%✗ 52.9%✓ 60.9%✗ 54.6%✗ 52.1%✗ 50.1%✓ 57.5%✓ 57.1%✓ 63.9%✓ 62.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Newcastle vs Everton2026-11-02Over 9.5 54.2%Miss
La Coruna vs Osasuna2026-11-02Under 9.5 52.9%Miss
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina2026-11-02Under 9.5 60.9%Hit
Atalanta vs Parma2026-11-02Under 9.5 54.6%Miss
Lorient vs Brest2026-11-02Under 9.5 52.1%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 46.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 68.2% for over 7.5 to 19.6% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.2%. On the corner count, Fiorentina are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 50.2%, with a level count at 10.2%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

By team, Fiorentina over 4.5 corners sits at 52.1% and Juventus at 44.1%. This season Fiorentina have averaged 5.1 corners won a game and Juventus 8.2.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

46.2%Over 9.5 corners
50.2%Most corners: Fiorentina
52.1%Fiorentina over 4.5 corners
44.1%Juventus over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 46.2% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderFiorentina are the pick to win the corner count at 50.2%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 46.2%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
FiorentinaFiorentina

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

JuventusJuventus
Statistic
Fiorentina
Juventus
corners won per game
5.1
8.2

corners conceded per game
3.9
3.7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Fiorentina vs Juventus?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 46.2% for Fiorentina vs Juventus.
Which team will win the corner count in Fiorentina vs Juventus?
The model rates Fiorentina to win the corner count at 50.2%, with a level count at 10.2%.
How many corners do Fiorentina and Juventus average this season?
Fiorentina have won 5.1 corners a game this season and Juventus 8.2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Serie AFiorentina fixtures and statsJuventus fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.