Liga I
FCSBFCSBDLWWW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1118:30UK
CorvinulCorvinulWWLLW

FCSB vs Corvinul over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined58.5%
Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined41.5%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 2.5 goals58.5%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Model leanOver 2.558.5%
Under 2.541.5%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 94.8% 5.2%
1.5 goals 81.1% 18.9%
2.5 goals 58.5% 41.5%
3.5 goals 36.1% 63.9%
4.5 goals 19.1% 80.9%
5.5 goals 8.8% 91.2%

Team goal lines

FCSB over 0.5
88.9%
FCSB over 1.5
64.5%
FCSB over 2.5
37.7%
Corvinul over 0.5
56.8%
Corvinul over 1.5
20.6%
Corvinul over 2.5
5.3%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.2%

0

13.7%

1

22.6%

2

22.4%

3

17.0%

4

16.6%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

FCSBBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5
CorvinulBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

FCSBFCSBLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-5
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 4-1

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

CorvinulCorvinulLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Match outlook

PickFCSB67.9%
Draw19.6%
Corvinul12.5%

The model leans FCSB to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,411Matches graded

In 24,329 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 54.4% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 50.5%✗ 56.8%✓ 60.5%✗ 68.6%✓ 54.9%✓ 50.9%✗ 50.6%✓ 54.1%✗ 57.1%✗ 64.5%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 50.5%Miss
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Over 56.8%Miss
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Over 60.5%Hit
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 68.6%Miss
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Over 54.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 2.5 goals at 58.5%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. Recent output points the same way: FCSB have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded, Corvinul 1.6 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 58.5% for over 2.5 and 81.1% for at least two goals. FCSB have gone over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5, Corvinul in 3 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 58.5% for three or more goals and 81.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With FCSB favoured at 67.9%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

67.9%Favoured: FCSB
51.0%Both Teams to Score
58.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 58.5% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 58.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFCSB are the model’s pick on the result at 67.9%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
FCSBFCSB

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

CorvinulCorvinul
Statistic
FCSB
Corvinul
goals scored per game
1.5
1.1

goals conceded per game
1.5
1.1

Over 2.5 rate
61.5%
35.7%

1st-half goals per game
0.7
0.5

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FCSB vs Corvinul?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 58.5% for FCSB vs Corvinul.
How often have FCSB gone over 2.5 recently?
FCSB have gone over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5, Corvinul in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.