Liga I
FC ArgesFC ArgesDLLDL
Fri, 6 Nov 20266/1118:30UK
Dinamo BucurestiBucurestiWWWWD

FC Arges vs Dinamo Bucuresti over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined68.7%
Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined31.3%

Model read

A clear lean on the model's numbers.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Strong

Under 2.5 goals68.7%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.531.3%
Model leanUnder 2.568.7%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 85.3% 14.7%
1.5 goals 59.0% 41.0%
2.5 goals 31.3% 68.7%
3.5 goals 13.6% 86.4%
4.5 goals 4.9% 95.1%
5.5 goals 1.5% 98.5%

Team goal lines

FC Arges over 0.5
56.1%
FC Arges over 1.5
19.9%
FC Arges over 2.5
5.1%
Dinamo Bucuresti over 0.5
68.0%
Dinamo Bucuresti over 1.5
31.5%
Dinamo Bucuresti over 2.5
10.8%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

14.7%

0

26.3%

1

27.7%

2

17.7%

3

8.7%

4

4.8%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

FC ArgesBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5
Dinamo BucurestiBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

FC ArgesFC ArgesLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-1

0 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses

Dinamo BucurestiBucurestiLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 4-0
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 2-2

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1FC ArgesFC Arges wins
1Draws
1Dinamo BucurestiBucuresti wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Dinamo BucurestiBucuresti
2 – 1
FC ArgesFC Arges
FC ArgesFC Arges
1 – 1
Dinamo BucurestiBucuresti
Dinamo BucurestiBucuresti
0 – 1
FC ArgesFC Arges

Match outlook

FC Arges25.7%
Draw32.0%
PickDinamo Bucuresti42.3%

The model leans Dinamo Bucuresti to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,279Matches graded

In 10,105 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 41.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 59.3%✗ 59.0%✓ 55.4%✓ 59.5%✓ 52.1%✗ 56.9%✓ 56.0%✗ 57.7%✓ 65.3%✓ 53.7%
7 of 10 recent calls hit.
Elversberg vs Mainz2026-10-30Over 59.3%Hit
Villarreal vs Espanol2026-10-30Over 59.0%Miss
Le Havre vs Paris SG2026-10-30Over 55.4%Hit
Nice vs Rennes2026-10-30Over 59.5%Hit
Lille vs Lens2026-10-30Under 52.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Under 2.5 goals at 68.7%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: FC Arges have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, Dinamo Bucuresti 2.6 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 31.3% for over 2.5 and 59.0% for at least two goals. Their last 3 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. FC Arges have gone over 2.5 in 2 of their last 5, Dinamo Bucuresti in 3 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 31.3% for three or more goals and 59.0% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Dinamo Bucuresti favoured at 42.3%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

42.3%Favoured: Dinamo Bucuresti
38.8%Both Teams to Score
31.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 68.7% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 31.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutDinamo Bucuresti are the model’s pick on the result at 42.3%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
FC ArgesFC Arges

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti
Statistic
FC Arges
Dinamo Bucuresti
goals scored per game
0.6
2.2

goals conceded per game
1.1
0.7

Over 2.5 rate
15.4%
53.8%

1st-half goals per game
0.3
1.1

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Arges vs Dinamo Bucuresti?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 31.3% for FC Arges vs Dinamo Bucuresti.
How often have FC Arges gone over 2.5 recently?
FC Arges have gone over 2.5 in 2 of their last 5, Dinamo Bucuresti in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.