Bundesliga
FC Koln vs 
M'gladbach Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 64.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: FC Koln have averaged 1.4 scored and 3.0 conceded, M'gladbach 1.6 and 3.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 64.2% for over 2.5 and 84.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.0 goals a game. FC Koln have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 5, M'gladbach in 2 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
1.4
3.0
1.6
3.0
Each team to score
By half
Goals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
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5+
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.
64.1%Both Teams to Score64.2%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 64.2% for three or more goals and 84.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With FC Koln favoured at 53.2%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans FC Koln to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: FC Koln 1 · 3 draws · M'gladbach 1 · 4.0 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in FC Koln vs M'gladbach?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 64.1% for FC Koln vs M'gladbach.
Will FC Koln score against M'gladbach?
The model rates FC Koln to score at 85.8% and M'gladbach to score at 74.2%.
How often have FC Koln seen both teams score recently?
FC Koln have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 5, M'gladbach in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 5,771 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.9% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
