Bundesliga
Freiburg vs 
Schalke 04 Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 58.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Freiburg have averaged 3.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, Schalke 04 1.4 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 62.5% for over 2.5 and 83.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. Freiburg have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Schalke 04 in 3 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
3.2
1.0
1.4
2.0
Each team to score
By half
Goals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
58.1%Both Teams to Score62.5%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 62.5% for three or more goals and 83.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Freiburg favoured at 65.3%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Freiburg to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Freiburg 5 · 0 draws · Schalke 04 0 · 3.2 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 58.1% for Freiburg vs Schalke 04.
Will Freiburg score against Schalke 04?
The model rates Freiburg to score at 88.6% and Schalke 04 to score at 65.1%.
How often have Freiburg seen both teams score recently?
Freiburg have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Schalke 04 in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 26,677 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
