Bundesliga
Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtDLWDL
Full time1-0Fri, 16 Oct 202616/1019:30UK17°C · Cloudy
FC KolnFC KolnWLDLW

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Koln correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score9.2%
2-1 correct score8.9%
2-2 correct score6.9%

Result

Ein Frankfurt1-0FC Koln

Final score 1-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 5.2%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 9.2%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Ein Frankfurt goals, columns = FC Koln goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.2%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-19.2%
  2. 2-18.9%
  3. 2-26.9%
  4. 1-26.8%
  5. 3-16.0%
  6. 2-05.7%
  7. 1-05.2%
  8. 3-24.7%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 3.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.2% 9.2% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.9% 6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Ein Frankfurt · Columns: FC Koln

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

3.2%

0

9.0%

1

18.2%

2

21.2%

3

19.1%

4

26.9%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtLast 5
D
Draw · 3-3
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-6

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

FC KolnFC KolnLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 1-4
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt wins
2Draws
2FC KolnFC Koln wins
3.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
2 – 2
FC KolnFC Koln
FC KolnFC Koln
3 – 4
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
FC KolnFC Koln
2 – 0
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
1 – 1
FC KolnFC Koln
FC KolnFC Koln
3 – 0
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 9.2% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Ein Frankfurt have averaged 1.8 scored and 3.2 conceded, FC Koln 1.6 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 69.6% for over 2.5 and 87.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.6 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 69.6% for three or more goals and 87.8% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Ein Frankfurt favoured at 50.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

50.7%Favoured: Ein Frankfurt
69.0%Both Teams to Score
69.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 69.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutEin Frankfurt are the model’s pick on the result at 50.7%, a lean on probability, never on price.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt (1)
Younes Ebnoutalib
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
39.5%
2.53
1+ shot on target
55.0%
1.82
2+ shots
53.7%
1.86
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.58
On target1.59
Goals1.00
FC KolnFC Koln (1)
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
17.4%
5.75
1+ shot on target
36.9%
2.71
2+ shots
27.8%
3.60
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.79
On target1.68
Goals0.70

FAQ

What was the score in Ein Frankfurt vs FC Koln?
Ein Frankfurt vs FC Koln finished 1-0. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 9.2%; it gave the actual 1-0 a 5.2% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.