AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 31 Oct 2026

Ligue 2
DunkerqueDunkerqueLLWDL
Fri, 6 Nov 20266/1119:00UK
GuingampGuingampWLLLW

Dunkerque vs Guingamp corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined58.3%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined41.7%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners41.7%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Dunkerque.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 66.5% 33.5%
8.5 corners 54.1% 45.9%
9.5 corners 41.7% 58.3%
10.5 corners 30.6% 69.4%
11.5 corners 21.3% 78.7%
12.5 corners 14.2% 85.8%

Who wins the corner count

Dunkerque
48.2%
Level
11.5%
Guingamp
40.3%

Team corners lines

Dunkerque

Over 3.5
65.8%
Over 4.5
49.1%
Over 5.5
33.8%

Guingamp

Over 3.5
60.3%
Over 4.5
43.0%
Over 5.5
28.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Dunkerque's; Guingamp gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Dunkerque line Dunkerque Guingamp
-1.5 36.9% 63.1%
-0.5 48.2% 51.8%
+0.5 59.7% 40.3%
+1.5 70.4% 29.6%
DunkerqueDunkerque

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Dunkerque at home and Guingamp away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

GuingampGuingamp
Statistic
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Corners won per game at this venue
4.5
4.4

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.5
2.6

First-half corners won per game
2.3
1.5

Second-half corners won per game
2.0
2.6

Matches with more corners than the opponent
22.2%
60.0%

Matches with corner data
9
10

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 21,935 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 41.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 66.5% for over 7.5 to 14.2% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.1%. Between the two sides, Dunkerque are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 48.2%, with a level count at 11.5%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Dunkerque over 4.5 corners sits at 49.1% and Guingamp at 43.0%. This season Dunkerque have averaged 4.3 corners won a game and Guingamp 4.1.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

41.7%Over 9.5 corners
48.2%Most corners: Dunkerque
49.1%Dunkerque over 4.5 corners
43.0%Guingamp over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 41.7% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderDunkerque are the pick to win the corner count at 48.2%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 54.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
DunkerqueDunkerque

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GuingampGuingamp
Statistic
Dunkerque
Guingamp
corners won per game
4.3
4.1

corners conceded per game
5.3
3.2

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 41.7% for Dunkerque vs Guingamp.
Which team will win the corner count in Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
The model rates Dunkerque to win the corner count at 48.2%, with a level count at 11.5%.
How many corners do Dunkerque and Guingamp average this season?
Dunkerque have won 4.3 corners a game this season and Guingamp 4.1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Ligue 2Dunkerque fixtures and statsGuingamp fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.