AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 31 Oct 2026

Ligue 2
DijonDijonWWLLW
Fri, 6 Nov 20266/1119:00UK
Red StarRed StarWWWLL

Dijon vs Red Star corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined57.7%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined42.3%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners42.3%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Dijon.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 67.0% 33.0%
8.5 corners 54.6% 45.4%
9.5 corners 42.3% 57.7%
10.5 corners 31.2% 68.9%
11.5 corners 21.8% 78.2%
12.5 corners 14.5% 85.5%

Who wins the corner count

Dijon
51.9%
Level
11.3%
Red Star
36.7%

Team corners lines

Dijon

Over 3.5
68.5%
Over 4.5
52.1%
Over 5.5
36.7%

Red Star

Over 3.5
58.0%
Over 4.5
40.6%
Over 5.5
26.1%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Dijon's; Red Star gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Dijon line Dijon Red Star
-1.5 40.5% 59.5%
-0.5 51.9% 48.1%
+0.5 63.3% 36.7%
+1.5 73.5% 26.5%
DijonDijon

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Dijon at home and Red Star away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Red StarRed Star
Statistic
Dijon
Red Star
Corners won per game at this venue
4.0
4.6

Corners conceded per game at this venue
2.7
4.4

First-half corners won per game
1.9
3.2

Second-half corners won per game
1.9
2.9

Matches with more corners than the opponent
37.5%
55.6%

Matches with corner data
8
9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 21,935 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 42.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 67.0% for over 7.5 to 14.5% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.6%. On the corner count, Dijon are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 51.9%, with a level count at 11.3%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Dijon over 4.5 corners sits at 52.1% and Red Star at 40.6%. This season Dijon have averaged 3.8 corners won a game and Red Star 6.1.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

42.3%Over 9.5 corners
51.9%Most corners: Dijon
52.1%Dijon over 4.5 corners
40.6%Red Star over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 42.3% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderDijon are the pick to win the corner count at 51.9%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 54.6%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
DijonDijon

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Red StarRed Star
Statistic
Dijon
Red Star
corners won per game
3.8
6.1

corners conceded per game
4.0
3.6

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Dijon vs Red Star?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 42.3% for Dijon vs Red Star.
Which team will win the corner count in Dijon vs Red Star?
The model rates Dijon to win the corner count at 51.9%, with a level count at 11.3%.
How many corners do Dijon and Red Star average this season?
Dijon have won 3.8 corners a game this season and Red Star 6.1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Ligue 2Dijon fixtures and statsRed Star fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.