Süper Lig
Corum vs 
Eyupspor Cards
Result
We called Over 3.5 at 62.3% and it missed (3 in the match). We called No at 77.8% and it landed (0 in the match).
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 3.5 cards at 62.3%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 80.3% for over 2.5 to 26.4% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 43.0%. Head to head on cards, Eyupspor are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 49.1%, with a level count at 19.5%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Cards (bookings)
Total cards, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 cards | 80.3% | 19.7% |
| 3.5 cards | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| 4.5 cards | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| 5.5 cards | 26.4% | 73.6% |
Who picks up more cards
Team card lines
57.0%
30.0%
68.9%
42.7%
Card handicap
| Corum line | Corum | Eyupspor |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16.3% | 83.7% |
| -0.5 | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| +0.5 | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| +1.5 | 69.9% | 30.1% |
Red card
Fouls
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 fouls | 85.3% | 14.7% |
| 22.5 fouls | 74.5% | 25.5% |
| 24.5 fouls | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Card markets are softer and less efficiently priced than goals, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Corum vs Eyupspor. It tips Eyupspor for the most cards.
In-depth analysis
62.3%Over 3.5 cards22.2%Any red card57.0%Corum over 1.5 cards68.9%Eyupspor over 1.5 cards74.5%Over 22.5 foulsBy team, Corum over 1.5 cards sits at 57.0% and Eyupspor at 68.9%. A red card for either side is rated at 22.2% (Corum 9.7%, Eyupspor 13.9%).
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many cards in Corum vs Eyupspor?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 3.5 total cards at 62.3% for Corum vs Eyupspor.
Will there be a red card in Corum vs Eyupspor?
Before kickoff, the model rated a red card for either side at 22.2%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Corum vs Eyupspor?
Before kickoff, the model rated Eyupspor to pick up more cards at 49.1%, with a level count at 19.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Cards accuracy
How our Cards calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 10,079 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Cards actually happened 65.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Cards calls
The model’s most recent graded Cards predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Süper Lig, Cards
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.