Süper Lig

Corum vs Eyupspor Double Chance

2026-09-06 · 15:00

Double Chance71.5%Home or Away

Part of a bigger picture: see the full match page, where this comes from.

Result

Corum 3-0 Eyupspor

✓ Corum or Eyupspor

The highest-probability cover, Corum or Eyupspor (71.5%), landed.

Best predictionHome or Away · 71.5%A clear lean on the model’s numbers. Calibrated, not a tip.

72%

model probability

ConvictionStrong

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Home or Away at 71.5%, its strongest read on the Double Chance market. For context, Corum are favoured at 36.0%, a competitive game that shapes how this market plays out. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.

Double Chance

Corum or Draw64.5%

Draw or Eyupspor64.0%

★ Top coverCorum or Eyupspor71.5%

Draw no bet

Corum50.3%

Eyupspor49.7%

Draw no bet: the draw is taken out and the remaining probability is split between the two sides.

Winning margin

Margin	Probability
Corum by 1	20.2%
Corum by 2	10.5%
Corum by 3+	5.3%
Eyupspor by 1	20.0%
Eyupspor by 2	10.3%
Eyupspor by 3+	5.2%
Draw	28.5%

Goal handicap

Corum line	Corum	Eyupspor
-1.5	15.8%	84.2%
-0.5	35.9%	64.1%
+0.5	64.5%	35.5%
+1.5	84.5%	15.5%

Double chance trades a slice of return for a wider safety net. The highest-probability cover is Corum or Eyupspor on the model numbers.

In-depth analysis

36.0%Favoured: Corum

50.8%Both Teams to Score

44.7%Over 2.5 goals

For context, Corum are favoured at 36.0%. How the game flows often matters more here than the pre-match favourite.

Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 71.5% on Double Chance, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.

The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 44.7% over 2.5 read.

The ScoutCorum are the model’s pick on the result at 36.0%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Form & head-to-head

CorumDLL

EyupsporWDLLW

FAQ

Which double chance landed in Corum vs Eyupspor?
Home or Away was the highest-probability cover at 71.5%; it landed, final score 3-0.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Double Chance accuracy

How our Double Chance calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

75.8%Best Double Chance call, hit rate

0.0097Calibration error

55,318Matches graded

In 39,986 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Double Chance actually happened 73.4% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Double Chance calls

The model’s most recent graded Double Chance predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✗ 78.1%✓ 80.2%✓ 81.4%✓ 84.3%✗ 71.2%✓ 72.9%✗ 71.7%✓ 77.1%✓ 81.1%✓ 70.6%

7 of 10 recent calls hit.

Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Draw or Away 78.1%Miss

Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10Home or Draw 80.2%Hit

Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Home or Draw 81.4%Hit

Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Draw or Away 84.3%Hit

Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09Home or Draw 71.2%Miss

More Süper Lig, Double Chance

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.

Corum vs Eyupspor prediction & probabilities (2026-09-06)