AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

Ligue 2
ClermontClermontDDDLD
Full time0-2Fri, 23 Oct 202623/1019:00UK
GuingampGuingampDWLLL

Clermont 0-2 Guingamp corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined58.4%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined41.6%

Result

Clermont0-2Guingamp
6 cornersClermont 2, Guingamp 4
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 58.4% and it landed (6 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners41.6%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Clermont.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 66.3% 33.7%
8.5 corners 53.9% 46.1%
9.5 corners 41.6% 58.4%
10.5 corners 30.4% 69.6%
11.5 corners 21.2% 78.8%
12.5 corners 14.1% 86.0%

Who wins the corner count

Clermont
47.1%
Level
11.5%
Guingamp
41.4%

Team corners lines

Clermont

Over 3.5
64.9%
Over 4.5
48.1%
Over 5.5
32.9%

Guingamp

Over 3.5
61.0%
Over 4.5
43.8%
Over 5.5
28.9%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Clermont's; Guingamp gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Clermont line Clermont Guingamp
-1.5 35.8% 64.2%
-0.5 47.1% 52.9%
+0.5 58.6% 41.4%
+1.5 69.4% 30.6%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 41.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 66.3% for over 7.5 to 14.1% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 53.9%. Between the two sides, Clermont are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 47.1%, with a level count at 11.5%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

41.6%Over 9.5 corners
47.1%Most corners: Clermont
48.1%Clermont over 4.5 corners
43.8%Guingamp over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Split by side, Clermont over 4.5 corners sits at 48.1% and Guingamp at 43.8%.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 41.6% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderClermont are the pick to win the corner count at 47.1%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 53.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many corners in Clermont vs Guingamp?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 41.6% for Clermont vs Guingamp.
Which team will win the corner count in Clermont vs Guingamp?
Before kickoff, the model rated Clermont to win the corner count at 47.1%, with a level count at 11.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Corners

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Corner predictions today

Related

Ligue 2Clermont fixtures and statsGuingamp fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.