AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 2 Nov 2026

Championship
CharltonCharltonDDLLL
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1115:00UK
Sheffield UnitedSheff UtdWLWDW

Charlton vs Sheffield United corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined59.6%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined40.4%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners59.6%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Charlton.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 80.7% 19.3%
8.5 corners 70.8% 29.2%
9.5 corners 59.6% 40.4%
10.5 corners 48.0% 52.0%
11.5 corners 37.0% 63.1%
12.5 corners 27.2% 72.8%

Who wins the corner count

Charlton
56.3%
Level
10.1%
Sheffield United
33.6%

Team corners lines

Charlton

Over 3.5
79.5%
Over 4.5
65.9%
Over 5.5
51.1%

Sheffield United

Over 3.5
66.0%
Over 4.5
49.2%
Over 5.5
33.8%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Charlton's; Sheffield United gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Charlton line Charlton Sheffield United
-3.5 26.4% 73.6%
-1.5 45.8% 54.3%
-0.5 56.3% 43.7%
+0.5 66.4% 33.6%
CharltonCharlton

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Charlton at home and Sheffield United away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
Statistic
Charlton
Sheffield United
Corners won per game at this venue
5.8
3.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
6.0
7.8

First-half corners won per game
2.8
1.6

Second-half corners won per game
1.7
1.7

Matches with more corners than the opponent
27.3%
18.2%

Matches with corner data
11
11

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
51,077Matches graded

In 24,084 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 52.5%✓ 50.2%✗ 50.6%✓ 56.9%✗ 50.6%✓ 53.7%✗ 51.8%✓ 62.7%✗ 61.2%✓ 61.5%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 9.5 52.5%Hit
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.2%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 9.5 56.9%Hit
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 59.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 80.7% for over 7.5 to 27.2% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.0%. On the corner count, Charlton are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.3%, with a level count at 10.1%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Charlton over 4.5 corners sits at 65.9% and Sheffield United at 49.2%. This season Charlton have averaged 4.6 corners won a game and Sheffield United 3.3.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

59.6%Over 9.5 corners
56.3%Most corners: Charlton
65.9%Charlton over 4.5 corners
49.2%Sheffield United over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 59.6% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderCharlton are the pick to win the corner count at 56.3%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 48.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 10.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
CharltonCharlton

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
Statistic
Charlton
Sheffield United
corners won per game
4.6
3.3

corners conceded per game
6.1
6.8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Charlton vs Sheffield United?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 59.6% for Charlton vs Sheffield United.
Which team will win the corner count in Charlton vs Sheffield United?
The model rates Charlton to win the corner count at 56.3%, with a level count at 10.1%.
How many corners do Charlton and Sheffield United average this season?
Charlton have won 4.6 corners a game this season and Sheffield United 3.3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

ChampionshipCharlton fixtures and statsSheffield United fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.