Eliteserien
BrannBrannLWLLL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1113:30UK
MoldeMoldeWLDWW

Brann vs Molde over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined71%
Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined29%

Model read

A clear lean on the model's numbers.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Strong

Over 2.5 goals71.0%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Model leanOver 2.571.0%
Under 2.529.0%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 97.0% 3.0%
1.5 goals 88.6% 11.4%
2.5 goals 71.0% 29.0%
3.5 goals 50.1% 50.0%
4.5 goals 30.8% 69.2%
5.5 goals 16.6% 83.4%

Team goal lines

Brann over 0.5
83.0%
Brann over 1.5
52.8%
Brann over 2.5
26.1%
Molde over 0.5
85.1%
Molde over 1.5
56.8%
Molde over 2.5
29.8%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

3.0%

0

8.5%

1

17.5%

2

21.0%

3

19.3%

4

28.5%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

BrannBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
MoldeBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 5/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

BrannBrannLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 2-3

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

MoldeMoldeLast 5
W
Win · 5-1
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 6-1
W
Win · 5-1

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1BrannBrann wins
0Draws
4MoldeMolde wins
3.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
MoldeMolde
1 – 2
BrannBrann
MoldeMolde
4 – 0
BrannBrann
BrannBrann
0 – 3
MoldeMolde
MoldeMolde
2 – 1
BrannBrann
BrannBrann
1 – 3
MoldeMolde

Match outlook

Brann36.1%
Draw22.5%
PickMolde41.4%

The model leans Molde to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 1,045 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 69.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.8%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✓ 55.3%✓ 54.9%✓ 56.5%✗ 62.3%✗ 52.0%✗ 55.7%✓ 58.7%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Under 55.8%Miss
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27Under 51.1%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Under 50.7%Miss
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Over 55.3%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Over 54.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 2.5 goals at 71.0%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Brann have averaged 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded, Molde 3.8 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 71.0% for over 2.5 and 88.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.4 goals a game. Brann have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, Molde in 5 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 71.0% for three or more goals and 88.6% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Molde favoured at 41.4%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

41.4%Favoured: Molde
71.0%Both Teams to Score
71.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 71.0% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 71.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutMolde are the model’s pick on the result at 41.4%, a lean on probability, never on price.
BrannBrann

This season

2026 · Recorded results.

MoldeMolde
Statistic
Brann
Molde
goals scored per game
1.8
2.4

goals conceded per game
1.7
1.5

Over 2.5 rate
79.2%
70.8%

1st-half goals per game
0.8
1.2

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brann vs Molde?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 71.0% for Brann vs Molde.
How often have Brann gone over 2.5 recently?
Brann have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, Molde in 5 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.