Eliteserien
Bodo/GlimtBodo/GlimtWWLWW
Full time0-1Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1015:00UK
ValerengaValerengaDLDLW

Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Valerenga correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

3-0 correct score8.5%
3-1 correct score8.2%
2-0 correct score7.8%

Result

Bodo/Glimt0-1Valerenga

Final score 0-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 1.2%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.0%other

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Bodo/Glimt goals, columns = Valerenga goals. The most likely scoreline is other at 11.0%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. other11.0%
  2. 3-08.5%
  3. 3-18.2%
  4. 2-07.8%
  5. 2-17.6%
  6. 4-06.9%
  7. 4-16.6%
  8. 1-14.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.6% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 7.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 8.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.9% 6.6% 3.2% 1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.4% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: Bodo/Glimt · Columns: Valerenga

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

1.7%

0

5.8%

1

13.5%

2

18.5%

3

19.5%

4

30.1%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Bodo/GlimtBodo/GlimtLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 2-0

4 wins · 0 draws · 1 loss

ValerengaValerengaLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-1

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt wins
0Draws
1ValerengaValerenga wins
5.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
ValerengaValerenga
1 – 2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
ValerengaValerenga
3 – 1
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
7 – 2
ValerengaValerenga
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
4 – 2
ValerengaValerenga
ValerengaValerenga
1 – 3
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 11.0% at other, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Bodo/Glimt have averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded, Valerenga 1.4 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 79.0% for over 2.5 and 92.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 5.2 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 79.0% for three or more goals and 92.5% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Bodo/Glimt favoured at 80.8%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

80.8%Favoured: Bodo/Glimt
59.7%Both Teams to Score
79.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: other on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 79.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBodo/Glimt are the model’s pick on the result at 80.8%, context for how the goals may flow.

FAQ

What was the score in Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga?
Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga finished 0-1. The model's most likely scoreline was other at 11.0%; it gave the actual 0-1 a 1.2% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.