AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Pro League
BeverenBeverenWWLLD
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1019:45UK
St. GilloiseSt. GilloiseWWWDW

Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise shots prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 24.5 shotsBoth teams combined57.6%
Under 24.5 shotsBoth teams combined42.4%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 24.5 shots57.6%

Shots prediction

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Shot counts move with pressure, not with the result, below are the model total-shot probabilities. The model leans to Beveren.

What the model expects

The average number of shots and shots on target each team takes in the model's own distribution for this match, the same distribution the lines below come from. It is an average, not a betting line, and it is a model estimate, not a recorded result.

Treat as a range

Model expected shots and shots on target, Beveren vs St. Gilloise
Model expects Shots On target
Beveren 13.4 4.3
St. Gilloise 12.7 4.7
Both teams 26.1 9.0

Total shots

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
22.5 shots 69.1% 31.0%
24.5 shots 57.6% 42.4%
26.5 shots 45.9% 54.1%
28.5 shots 34.8% 65.2%

Who takes more shots

Beveren
51.4%
Level
5.9%
St. Gilloise
42.7%

Team shots lines

Beveren

Over 10.5
70.8%
Over 12.5
54.8%
Over 14.5
39.0%

St. Gilloise

Over 10.5
65.4%
Over 12.5
48.6%
Over 14.5
33.0%

Shots on target

Model probabilities for shots on target, both teams combined in the ladder and per team below. A shot on target is one the goalkeeper has to deal with, or a goal.

Treat as a range

Line Over Under
6.5 shots on target 75.9% 24.2%
7.5 shots on target 64.5% 35.5%
8.5 shots on target 52.4% 47.6%
9.5 shots on target 40.6% 59.4%

Who has more on target

Beveren
39.4%
Level
12.3%
St. Gilloise
48.4%

Team shots on target lines

Beveren

Over 3.5
59.6%
Over 4.5
42.0%
Over 5.5
27.2%

St. Gilloise

Over 3.5
65.5%
Over 4.5
48.5%
Over 5.5
33.1%

Shot handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Beveren's; St. Gilloise gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Beveren line Beveren St. Gilloise
-2.5 39.6% 60.4%
-0.5 51.4% 48.6%
+0.5 57.3% 42.7%
+2.5 68.6% 31.4%

Shots stats

Recorded results from league matches, not predictions. A missing value is shown as a dot, never as zero.

This season: average per game in this season's league matches. A value appears only after five matches with shot data; Matches shows how many there were. More shots is the share of matches in which the team took more shots than its opponent.

At home and away: Beveren in their home matches and St. Gilloise in their away matches this season, the venue each side plays at in this match. A split appears after three matches at that venue.

By half: shots before and after the break, per game. In the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1 the half split comes from Understat and is used only when the shots before the break match the half-time score; elsewhere it comes from the data provider's half-by-half statistics and is used only when both halves add up to the full-time count. Shots on target per half come from the data provider. The halves can therefore have fewer matches, shown in brackets, than the full-match averages.

By half, at home and away: the same half split, using only Beveren's home matches and St. Gilloise's away matches.

Last six league matches: the most recent six league matches with shot data, which can include last season. Shown only with at least five matches.

Last six at home and away: Beveren's last six home league matches and St. Gilloise's last six away league matches, across seasons when needed.

BeverenBeveren

Recorded 2026/27

St. GilloiseSt. Gilloise
This season
Statistic
Beveren
St. Gilloise
Shots per game
11.1
18.0

Shots faced per game
15.9
10.9

Shots on target per game
3.7
7.8

On target faced per game
5.3
2.8

Matches with more shots
22.2%
77.8%

Matches
9
9
Beveren at home, St. Gilloise away
Statistic
Beveren
St. Gilloise
Shots per game
10.8
17.3

Shots faced per game
15.0
11.3

Shots on target per game
4.3
8.5

On target faced per game
4.3
2.8

Matches
4
4
By half, this season
Statistic
Beveren
St. Gilloise
1st-half shots
4.7
6.4

2nd-half shots
6.4
11.6

1st-half shots faced
7.2
5.2

2nd-half shots faced
8.7
5.7

1st-half shots on target
1.3
2.4

2nd-half shots on target
2.3
5.3

1st-half on target faced
2.4
1.6

2nd-half on target faced
2.9
1.2

Matches
9
9
By half, at home and away
Statistic
Beveren
St. Gilloise
1st-half shots
3.3
5.3

2nd-half shots
7.5
12.0

1st-half shots faced
6.3
4.8

2nd-half shots faced
8.8
6.5

1st-half shots on target
1.3
2.0

2nd-half shots on target
3.0
6.5

1st-half on target faced
2.3
1.5

2nd-half on target faced
2.0
1.3

Matches
4
4
Last six league matches
Statistic
Beveren
St. Gilloise
Shots per game
11.5
19.8

Shots faced per game
15.2
10.5

Shots on target per game
3.8
8.3

On target faced per game
4.7
2.7

Matches
6
6
Last six at home and away
Statistic
Beveren
St. Gilloise
Shots per game
·
17.7

Shots faced per game
·
11.8

Shots on target per game
·
7.7

On target faced per game
·
3.0

Matches
·
6

League average per match: 28.3 shots, 9.3 on target, 12.7 in the 1st half, 15.6 in the 2nd half.

Shots accuracy

How our Shots calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

58.7%Best Shots call, hit rate
0.0366Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 13,109 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Shots actually happened 57.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Shots calls

Our most recent Shots calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.0%✗ 57.4%✓ 56.9%✗ 58.7%✓ 55.2%✗ 56.2%✓ 65.6%✓ 63.0%✗ 57.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 24.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 24.5 52.0%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 24.5 57.4%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 24.5 56.9%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 24.5 58.7%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 24.5 shots at 57.6%, its strongest read on the Shots market. Across the lines, the model goes from 69.1% for over 22.5 to 34.8% for over 28.5, with over 26.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.9%. Between the two sides, Beveren are the model’s pick to have more shots at 51.4%, with a level count at 5.9%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Beveren over 12.5 shots sits at 54.8% and St. Gilloise at 48.6%. This season Beveren have averaged 11.1 shots a game and St. Gilloise 18.0. Beveren take 4.7 shots before half-time and 6.4 after, St. Gilloise 6.4 and 11.6.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

57.6%Over 24.5 shots
51.4%Most shots: Beveren
54.8%Beveren over 12.5 shots
48.6%St. Gilloise over 12.5 shots
64.5%Over 7.5 on target

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.6% on Shots. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Volume ReaderBeveren are the pick to have more shots at 51.4%, shot volume follows the side that keeps the ball in the final third.
The Clock WatcherBeveren average 4.7 shots in the first half and 6.4 in the second, so their volume builds as the game opens up.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 26.5 shots: over sits at 45.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many shots in Beveren vs St. Gilloise?
The model expects about 13.4 shots for Beveren and 12.7 for St. Gilloise, 26.1 in total, and rates over 24.5 total shots at 57.6%.
How many shots on target in Beveren vs St. Gilloise?
The model expects about 4.3 shots on target for Beveren and 4.7 for St. Gilloise, and rates over 7.5 shots on target at 64.5%.
Which team will have more shots in Beveren vs St. Gilloise?
The model rates Beveren to take more shots at 51.4%.
How many shots do St. Gilloise take away from home?
St. Gilloise have taken 17.3 shots per game and faced 11.3 across 4 recorded away league matches this season.
Do Beveren shoot more in the first or second half?
Beveren average 4.7 shots before half-time and 6.4 after, this season.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Pro LeagueBeveren fixtures and statsUnion Saint-Gilloise fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.