Pro League
Beveren vs 
Lommel SK Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 53.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 77.3% for over 7.5 to 22.9% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.7%. Between the two sides, Beveren are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.5%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 77.3% | 22.7% |
| 8.5 corners | 66.6% | 33.4% |
| 9.5 corners | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| 10.5 corners | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| 11.5 corners | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 22.9% | 77.1% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
75.4%
60.5%
45.2%
65.4%
48.5%
33.2%
Corner handicap
| Beveren line | Beveren | Lommel SK |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| -0.5 | 52.8% | 47.3% |
| +0.5 | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| +1.5 | 72.9% | 27.1% |
This season (2026/27)
4.4Beveren corners won per game4.6Beveren corners conceded per game3.4Lommel SK corners won per game7.4Lommel SK corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Beveren.
In-depth analysis
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.
54.7%Over 9.5 corners60.5%Beveren over 4.5 corners48.5%Lommel SK over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Beveren over 4.5 corners sits at 60.5% and Lommel SK at 48.5%. This season Beveren have averaged 4.4 corners won a game and Lommel SK 3.4.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Beveren vs Lommel SK?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 54.7% for Beveren vs Lommel SK.
Which team will win the corner count in Beveren vs Lommel SK?
The model rates Beveren to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How many corners do Beveren and Lommel SK average this season?
Beveren have won 4.4 corners a game this season and Lommel SK 3.4.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,827 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
