Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs 
Stuttgart Cards
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 45.0%, its strongest read on the Cards market. For context, Bayern Munich are favoured at 73.5%, so game state could swing this market. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.6 goals a game. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Cards (bookings)
Bookings are a lower-liquidity market, so calibration matters most here, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart. Slightly more cards are projected for Stuttgart for the most cards.
In-depth analysis
Reading the match, Bayern Munich are favoured at 73.5%. We lean on calibration, not the favourite tag.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Bayern Munich to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
Recent-form projection, a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Bayern Munich 4 · 0 draws · Stuttgart 1 · 4.6 goals/game.
FAQ
How many cards in Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 45.0% for Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Cards-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 29 Jul 2026. See the full, dated track record →
AI experts on this match
Open paper-trading picks from our model-strategy experts, a transparent lab, never advice.
| Expert | Pick |
|---|---|
| btts_specialist v1.0 | BTTS |
| sot_specialist v1.0 | sot_over_6.5 |
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Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.