AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Super League Greece
Asteras TripolisTripolisDDWLD
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1115:00UK
KalamataKalamataWLWWL

Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined60.4%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined39.6%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners39.6%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Asteras Tripolis.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 64.7% 35.3%
8.5 corners 52.0% 48.0%
9.5 corners 39.6% 60.4%
10.5 corners 28.7% 71.4%
11.5 corners 19.7% 80.3%
12.5 corners 12.8% 87.2%

Who wins the corner count

Asteras Tripolis
57.4%
Level
10.6%
Kalamata
32.0%

Team corners lines

Asteras Tripolis

Over 3.5
69.8%
Over 4.5
54.1%
Over 5.5
39.1%

Kalamata

Over 3.5
51.3%
Over 4.5
34.3%
Over 5.5
21.1%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Asteras Tripolis's; Kalamata gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Asteras Tripolis line Asteras Tripolis Kalamata
-3.5 25.9% 74.1%
-1.5 46.2% 53.8%
-0.5 57.4% 42.6%
+0.5 68.0% 32.0%
Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Asteras Tripolis at home and Kalamata away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

KalamataKalamata
Statistic
Asteras Tripolis
Kalamata
Corners won per game at this venue
4.5
2.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.3
6.3

First-half corners won per game
1.6
1.7

Second-half corners won per game
1.9
0.9

Matches with more corners than the opponent
42.9%
14.3%

Matches with corner data
7
7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 3,467 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 39.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 64.7% for over 7.5 to 12.8% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.0%. Between the two sides, Asteras Tripolis are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 57.4%, with a level count at 10.6%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Asteras Tripolis over 4.5 corners sits at 54.1% and Kalamata at 34.3%. This season Asteras Tripolis have averaged 3.4 corners won a game and Kalamata 2.6.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

39.6%Over 9.5 corners
57.4%Most corners: Asteras Tripolis
54.1%Asteras Tripolis over 4.5 corners
34.3%Kalamata over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 39.6% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderAsteras Tripolis are the pick to win the corner count at 57.4%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 52.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

KalamataKalamata
Statistic
Asteras Tripolis
Kalamata
corners won per game
3.4
2.6

corners conceded per game
5.1
6.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 39.6% for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata.
Which team will win the corner count in Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
The model rates Asteras Tripolis to win the corner count at 57.4%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata average this season?
Asteras Tripolis have won 3.4 corners a game this season and Kalamata 2.6.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

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Super League GreeceAsteras Tripolis fixtures and statsKalamata fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.