AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 13 Oct 2026

Super League Greece
ArisArisWWLLD
Full time3-2Sun, 11 Oct 202611/1017:00UK
Volos NFCVolos NFCLDDLL

Aris 3-2 Volos NFC corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined62.2%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined37.8%

Result

Aris3-2Volos NFC
9 cornersAris 5, Volos NFC 4
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 62.2% and it landed (9 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners37.8%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Aris.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 62.8% 37.2%
8.5 corners 50.0% 50.0%
9.5 corners 37.8% 62.2%
10.5 corners 27.0% 73.0%
11.5 corners 18.4% 81.7%
12.5 corners 11.9% 88.1%

Who wins the corner count

Aris
58.4%
Level
10.6%
Volos NFC
31.0%

Team corners lines

Aris

Over 3.5
69.3%
Over 4.5
53.6%
Over 5.5
38.6%

Volos NFC

Over 3.5
49.0%
Over 4.5
32.2%
Over 5.5
19.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Aris's; Volos NFC gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Aris line Aris Volos NFC
-3.5 26.5% 73.5%
-1.5 47.2% 52.8%
-0.5 58.4% 41.6%
+0.5 69.1% 31.0%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 3,460 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 37.8%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 62.8% for over 7.5 to 11.9% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.0%. Head to head on corners, Aris are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.4%, with a level count at 10.6%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

By team, Aris over 4.5 corners sits at 53.6% and Volos NFC at 32.2%. This season Aris have averaged 5.8 corners won a game and Volos NFC 2.0.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

37.8%Over 9.5 corners
58.4%Most corners: Aris
53.6%Aris over 4.5 corners
32.2%Volos NFC over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 37.8% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderAris are the pick to win the corner count at 58.4%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 50.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
ArisAris

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Volos NFCVolos NFC
Statistic
Aris
Volos NFC
corners won per game
5.8
2.0

corners conceded per game
2.2
5.4

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Aris vs Volos NFC?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 37.8% for Aris vs Volos NFC.
Which team will win the corner count in Aris vs Volos NFC?
Before kickoff, the model rated Aris to win the corner count at 58.4%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Aris and Volos NFC average this season?
Aris have won 5.8 corners a game this season and Volos NFC 2.0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Super League Greece, Corners

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Corner predictions today

Related

Super League GreeceAris fixtures and statsVolos NFC fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.