Super League Greece
ArisArisWWLLD
Full time3-2Sun, 11 Oct 202611/1017:00UK
Volos NFCVolos NFCLDDLL

Aris 3-2 Volos NFC correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-0 correct score12.1%
1-1 correct score11.9%
2-0 correct score10.8%

Result

Aris3-2Volos NFC

Final score 3-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 2.5%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.1%1-0

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Aris goals, columns = Volos NFC goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.1%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-012.1%
  2. 1-111.9%
  3. 2-010.8%
  4. 2-19.7%
  5. 0-07.9%
  6. 3-06.2%
  7. 0-16.0%
  8. 3-15.5%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9% 6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 11.9% 5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.2% 5.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Aris · Columns: Volos NFC

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.9%

0

18.1%

1

25.6%

2

21.8%

3

14.2%

4

11.5%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

ArisArisLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-5
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 0-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Volos NFCVolos NFCLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 1-2

0 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3ArisAris wins
2Draws
0Volos NFCVolos NFC wins
2.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Volos NFCVolos NFC
1 – 2
ArisAris
ArisAris
3 – 2
Volos NFCVolos NFC
Volos NFCVolos NFC
1 – 1
ArisAris
ArisAris
2 – 0
Volos NFCVolos NFC
Volos NFCVolos NFC
1 – 1
ArisAris

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 12.1% at 1-0, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Aris have averaged 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded, Volos NFC 0.8 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 48.3% for over 2.5 and 74.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 48.3% for three or more goals and 74.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Aris favoured at 56.2%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

56.2%Favoured: Aris
49.0%Both Teams to Score
48.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-0 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 48.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutAris are the model’s pick on the result at 56.2%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Aris vs Volos NFC?
Aris vs Volos NFC finished 3-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-0 at 12.1%; it gave the actual 3-2 a 2.5% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Super League Greece, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.