Primeira Liga
Academico Viseu vs Estoril Praia Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 42.8%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 66.2% for over 7.5 to 16.8% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.7%. Head to head on corners, Academico Viseu are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 51.9%, with a level count at 10.4%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 66.2% | 33.8% |
| 8.5 corners | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| 9.5 corners | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| 10.5 corners | 32.8% | 67.2% |
| 11.5 corners | 23.9% | 76.1% |
| 12.5 corners | 16.8% | 83.2% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
66.8%
51.6%
37.6%
56.8%
40.8%
27.4%
Corner handicap
| Academico Viseu line | Academico Viseu | Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 41.4% | 58.6% |
| -0.5 | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| +0.5 | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| +1.5 | 71.8% | 28.2% |
This season (2026/27)
2.7Academico Viseu corners won per game5.3Academico Viseu corners conceded per gameThe corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Academico Viseu.
In-depth analysis
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.
43.3%Over 9.5 corners51.6%Academico Viseu over 4.5 corners40.8%Estoril Praia over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Academico Viseu over 4.5 corners sits at 51.6% and Estoril Praia at 40.8%.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Academico Viseu vs Estoril Praia?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 43.3% for Academico Viseu vs Estoril Praia.
Which team will win the corner count in Academico Viseu vs Estoril Praia?
The model rates Academico Viseu to win the corner count at 51.9%, with a level count at 10.4%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,686 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Primeira Liga, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
