Primeira Liga
Academico ViseuAcademicoDLWWW
Full time2-1Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1020:30UK
EstorilEstorilLLDLL

Academico Viseu 2-1 Estoril correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.9%
0-1 correct score8.8%
1-2 correct score8.6%

Result

Academico Viseu2-1Estoril

Final score 2-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 8.0%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.9%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Academico Viseu goals, columns = Estoril goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.9%
  2. 0-18.8%
  3. 1-28.6%
  4. 1-08.2%
  5. 2-18.0%
  6. 0-07.4%
  7. 0-26.6%
  8. 2-05.7%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4% 8.8% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.2% 12.9% 8.6% 4% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Academico Viseu · Columns: Estoril

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.4%

0

17.0%

1

25.1%

2

22.1%

3

14.9%

4

13.1%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Academico ViseuAcademicoLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

EstorilEstorilLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 1-2

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 12.9% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Academico Viseu have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, Estoril 0.4 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.6% for over 2.5 and 75.7% for at least two goals. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 50.6% for three or more goals and 75.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Estoril favoured at 38.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

38.7%Favoured: Estoril
55.4%Both Teams to Score
50.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 50.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutEstoril are the model’s pick on the result at 38.7%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Academico Viseu vs Estoril?
Academico Viseu vs Estoril finished 2-1. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 12.9%; it gave the actual 2-1 a 8.0% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Primeira Liga, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.