Pro League
Westerlo vs 
Standard Shots
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 24.5 shots at 57.8%, its strongest read on the Shots market. Across the lines, the model goes from 69.3% for over 22.5 to 34.7% for over 28.5, with over 26.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.0%. Between the two sides, Westerlo are the model’s pick to have more shots at 65.5%, with a level count at 5.4%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Shots
Total shots, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5 shots | 69.3% | 30.7% |
| 24.5 shots | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| 26.5 shots | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| 28.5 shots | 34.7% | 65.3% |
Who takes more shots
Team shot lines
78.5%
64.4%
49.0%
55.4%
38.0%
23.7%
Shot handicap
| Westerlo line | Westerlo | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| -2.5 | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| -0.5 | 65.5% | 34.5% |
| +0.5 | 70.9% | 29.2% |
Shots on target
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 shots on target | 75.4% | 24.6% |
| 7.5 shots on target | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| 8.5 shots on target | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| 9.5 shots on target | 40.3% | 59.7% |
Recent shot volume
Shots taken and faced per game over each side’s last 6 matches, from real match data.
This season (2026/27)
15.6Westerlo shots per game15.2Westerlo shots faced per game14.4Standard shots per game17.2Standard shots faced per gameTotal shots follow which side is chasing the game, below are the model total-shot probabilities. The model leans to Westerlo.
In-depth analysis
57.8%Over 24.5 shots64.4%Westerlo over 12.5 shots38.0%Standard over 12.5 shots64.0%Over 7.5 on targetBy team, Westerlo over 12.5 shots sits at 64.4% and Standard at 38.0%. This season Westerlo have averaged 15.6 shots a game and Standard 14.4.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many shots in Westerlo vs Standard?
The model rates over 24.5 total shots at 57.8% for Westerlo vs Standard.
Which team will have more shots in Westerlo vs Standard?
The model rates Westerlo to take more shots at 65.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Shots accuracy
How our Shots calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 12,849 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Shots actually happened 56.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Shots calls
The model’s most recent graded Shots predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Pro League, Shots
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.