Pro League
Westerlo vs 
Standard Correct Score
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Most likely · 12.9% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Westerlo have averaged 1.8 scored and 2.8 conceded, Standard 2.0 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.1% for over 2.5 and 75.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.6 goals a game. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Correct Score
| Scoreline | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
| 0-0 | 7.5% |
| 2-0 | 6.4% |
| 0-2 | 6.0% |
Score probability grid
| Westerlo \ Standard | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | · |
| 1 | 9% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | · |
| 2 | 6% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | · |
| 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | · | · |
| 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | · | · | · |
| 5 | · | · | · | · | · | · |
Rows = Westerlo goals, columns = Standard. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%. Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
54.9%Both Teams to Score50.1%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 50.1% for three or more goals and 75.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Westerlo favoured at 37.6%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Westerlo 1 · 2 draws · Standard 2 · 1.6 goals/game.
FAQ
What is the most likely score in Westerlo vs Standard?
The model's most likely scoreline for Westerlo vs Standard is 1-1 at 12.9%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Pro League, Correct Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.