Pro League
Westerlo vs 
Standard Double Chance
Part of a bigger picture: see the full match page, where this comes from.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Home or Away at 72.9%, its strongest read on the Double Chance market. On the result, Westerlo are favoured at 37.6%, a competitive game that shapes how this market plays out. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.6 goals a game. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Double Chance
Draw no bet
Draw no bet: the draw is taken out and the remaining probability is split between the two sides.
Winning margin
| Margin | Probability |
|---|---|
| Westerlo by 1 | 20.0% |
| Westerlo by 2 | 11.2% |
| Westerlo by 3+ | 6.4% |
| Standard by 1 | 19.3% |
| Standard by 2 | 10.4% |
| Standard by 3+ | 5.6% |
| Draw | 27.1% |
Goal handicap
| Westerlo line | Westerlo | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17.5% | 82.5% |
| -0.5 | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| +0.5 | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| +1.5 | 84.0% | 16.0% |
This season (2026/27)
1.8Westerlo goals scored per game2.8Westerlo goals conceded per game2.0Standard goals scored per game1.2Standard goals conceded per gameDouble chance trades a slice of return for a wider safety net. The highest-probability cover is Westerlo or Standard on the model numbers.
In-depth analysis
54.9%Both Teams to Score50.1%Over 2.5 goalsFor context, Westerlo are favoured at 37.6%. How the game flows often matters more here than the pre-match favourite.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Westerlo 1 · 2 draws · Standard 2 · 1.6 goals/game.
FAQ
What is the most likely double chance in Westerlo vs Standard?
Home or Away is the highest-probability double chance for Westerlo vs Standard at 72.9%.
What is the draw no bet probability in Westerlo vs Standard?
With the draw taken out, the model rates Westerlo at 51.5% and Standard at 48.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Double Chance accuracy
How our Double Chance calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 39,986 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Double Chance actually happened 73.4% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Double Chance calls
The model’s most recent graded Double Chance predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Pro League, Double Chance
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.