ChampionshipWest Brom vs QPR Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 54.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 78.7% for over 7.5 to 24.6% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.0%. Between the two sides, West Brom are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.2%, with a level count at 10.0%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| 9.5 corners | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| 10.5 corners | 45.0% | 55.1% |
| 11.5 corners | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| 12.5 corners | 24.6% | 75.4% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
80.1%
66.6%
51.9%
61.3%
44.0%
28.9%
Corner handicap
| West Brom line | West Brom | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 29.2% | 70.8% |
| -1.5 | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| -0.5 | 60.2% | 39.9% |
| +0.5 | 70.1% | 29.9% |
This season (2026/27)
The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges West Brom.
In-depth analysis
By team, West Brom over 4.5 corners sits at 66.6% and QPR at 44.0%. This season West Brom have averaged 4.5 corners won a game and QPR 7.0.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in West Brom vs QPR?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 56.7% for West Brom vs QPR.
Which team will win the corner count in West Brom vs QPR?
The model rates West Brom to win the corner count at 60.2%, with a level count at 10.0%.
How many corners do West Brom and QPR average this season?
West Brom have won 4.5 corners a game this season and QPR 7.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,691 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.1% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Championship, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.