Championship
West BromWest BromWDLLW
Full time3-2Sat, 17 Oct 202617/1015:00UK
BlackburnBlackburnLWDWW

West Brom 3-2 Blackburn correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.9%
1-0 correct score13.8%
0-0 correct score12.8%

Result

West Brom3-2Blackburn

Final score 3-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 1.5%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.9%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = West Brom goals, columns = Blackburn goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.9%
  2. 1-013.8%
  3. 0-012.8%
  4. 0-110.4%
  5. 2-08.7%
  6. 2-17.9%
  7. 1-26.1%
  8. 0-25.1%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8% 10.4% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.9% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1% 1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: West Brom · Columns: Blackburn

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

12.8%

0

24.2%

1

27.7%

2

19.0%

3

10.0%

4

6.1%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

West BromWest BromLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

BlackburnBlackburnLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 1-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2West BromWest Brom wins
2Draws
1BlackburnBlackburn wins
1.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BlackburnBlackburn
0 – 0
West BromWest Brom
West BromWest Brom
1 – 0
BlackburnBlackburn
West BromWest Brom
0 – 2
BlackburnBlackburn
BlackburnBlackburn
0 – 0
West BromWest Brom
West BromWest Brom
4 – 1
BlackburnBlackburn

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 13.9% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: West Brom have averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded, Blackburn 1.8 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 35.4% for over 2.5 and 63.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.6 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 35.4% for three or more goals and 63.0% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given West Brom favoured at 41.8%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

41.8%Favoured: West Brom
42.5%Both Teams to Score
35.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 35.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWest Brom are the model’s pick on the result at 41.8%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in West Brom vs Blackburn?
West Brom vs Blackburn finished 3-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.9%; it gave the actual 3-2 a 1.5% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Championship, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.