League Two
WalsallWalsallDDWDD
Full time3-0Tue, 20 Oct 202620/1019:45UK
OldhamOldhamLLLLD

Walsall 3-0 Oldham correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.6%
1-0 correct score11.4%
0-0 correct score9.8%

Result

Walsall3-0Oldham

Final score 3-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 3.4%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.6%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Walsall goals, columns = Oldham goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.6%
  2. 1-011.4%
  3. 0-09.8%
  4. 0-19.2%
  5. 2-18.5%
  6. 2-07.9%
  7. 1-27.0%
  8. 0-25.3%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8% 9.2% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 13.6% 7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 8.5% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.7% 2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Walsall · Columns: Oldham

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.8%

0

20.6%

1

26.8%

2

20.8%

3

12.4%

4

9.1%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

WalsallWalsallLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1

1 win · 4 draws · 0 losses

OldhamOldhamLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-4
D
Draw · 0-0

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3WalsallWalsall wins
1Draws
1OldhamOldham wins
2.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
WalsallWalsall
1 – 2
OldhamOldham
OldhamOldham
0 – 1
WalsallWalsall
WalsallWalsall
2 – 1
OldhamOldham
OldhamOldham
1 – 3
WalsallWalsall
WalsallWalsall
1 – 1
OldhamOldham

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 13.6% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Walsall have averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded, Oldham 0.4 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 42.8% for over 2.5 and 69.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 42.8% for three or more goals and 69.6% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Walsall favoured at 41.2%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

41.2%Favoured: Walsall
48.8%Both Teams to Score
42.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 42.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWalsall are the model’s pick on the result at 41.2%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Walsall vs Oldham?
Walsall vs Oldham finished 3-0. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.6%; it gave the actual 3-0 a 3.4% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More League Two, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.