Allsvenskan
Vasteras SKVasteras SKLWWLW
Full time1-2Fri, 23 Oct 202623/1018:00UK
HalmstadHalmstadLLWLL

Vasteras SK 1-2 Halmstad correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13%
1-0 correct score12.6%
2-0 correct score9.7%

Result

Vasteras SK1-2Halmstad

Final score 1-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 5.8%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.0%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Vasteras SK goals, columns = Halmstad goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.0%
  2. 1-012.6%
  3. 2-09.7%
  4. 0-09.6%
  5. 2-19.1%
  6. 0-17.8%
  7. 1-25.8%
  8. 3-04.8%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6% 7.8% 4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.1% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Vasteras SK · Columns: Halmstad

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.6%

0

20.5%

1

26.7%

2

20.9%

3

12.6%

4

9.2%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Vasteras SKVasteras SKLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 4-1
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 1-0

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

HalmstadHalmstadLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-4
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Vasteras SKVasteras SK wins
0Draws
1HalmstadHalmstad wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
HalmstadHalmstad
1 – 3
Vasteras SKVasteras SK
HalmstadHalmstad
0 – 1
Vasteras SKVasteras SK
Vasteras SKVasteras SK
0 – 1
HalmstadHalmstad

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 13.0% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Vasteras SK have averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded, Halmstad 0.6 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 43.2% for over 2.5 and 69.9% for at least two goals. Their last 3 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 43.2% for three or more goals and 69.9% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Vasteras SK favoured at 48.9%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

48.9%Favoured: Vasteras SK
47.4%Both Teams to Score
43.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 43.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutVasteras SK are the model’s pick on the result at 48.9%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Vasteras SK vs Halmstad?
Vasteras SK vs Halmstad finished 1-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.0%; it gave the actual 1-2 a 5.8% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.