Allsvenskan
HalmstadHalmstadLWLLW
Wed, 28 Oct 202628/1018:00UK
Malmo FFMalmo FFWLWLD

Halmstad vs Malmo FF correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

0-1 correct score13.5%
1-1 correct score12.4%
0-2 correct score11.1%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.5%0-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Halmstad goals, columns = Malmo FF goals. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.5%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 0-113.5%
  2. 1-112.4%
  3. 0-211.1%
  4. 0-09.5%
  5. 1-29.3%
  6. 1-06.9%
  7. 0-35.9%
  8. 2-14.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5% 13.5% 11.1% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7%
1 6.9% 12.4% 9.3% 4.9% 2% 0.6%
2 3.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Halmstad · Columns: Malmo FF

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.5%

0

20.3%

1

26.6%

2

21.0%

3

12.7%

4

9.3%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

HalmstadHalmstadLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-4
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

Malmo FFMalmo FFLast 5
W
Win · 4-1
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 0-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0HalmstadHalmstad wins
0Draws
5Malmo FFMalmo FF wins
4.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Malmo FFMalmo FF
5 – 2
HalmstadHalmstad
HalmstadHalmstad
0 – 4
Malmo FFMalmo FF
Malmo FFMalmo FF
3 – 0
HalmstadHalmstad
HalmstadHalmstad
0 – 1
Malmo FFMalmo FF
Malmo FFMalmo FF
5 – 1
HalmstadHalmstad

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 13.5% at 0-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Halmstad have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded, Malmo FF 1.0 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 43.6% for over 2.5 and 70.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.2 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 43.6% for three or more goals and 70.3% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Malmo FF favoured at 54.4%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

54.4%Favoured: Malmo FF
45.7%Both Teams to Score
43.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 0-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 43.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutMalmo FF are the model’s pick on the result at 54.4%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Halmstad vs Malmo FF?
The model's most likely scoreline for Halmstad vs Malmo FF is 0-1 at 13.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.