St. GilloiseSt. GilloiseWWWWW
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-HeverleeLLLDWUnion Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven correct score: our prediction vs the result
Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.
Result
St. Gilloise1-1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Final score 1-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 8.1%.
Model read
No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.
Conviction: Open
Most likely · 15.1%2-0
Correct score
Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.
Rows = St. Gilloise goals, columns = Oud-Heverlee Leuven goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 15.1%.
No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.
Most likely scorelines
- 2-015.1%
- 1-013.1%
- 3-011.2%
- 2-18.6%
- 1-18.1%
- 0-06.5%
- 3-16.4%
- 4-06.3%
Score probability grid
| H / A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 11.2% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Rows: St. Gilloise · Columns: Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Goals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
Form & head-to-head
Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.
Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.
W
W
W
W
W
5 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
L
L
L
D
W
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Overall model accuracy
We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Most likely · 15.1% at 2-0, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: St. Gilloise have averaged 3.2 scored and 0.4 conceded, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.8 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 53.1% for over 2.5 and 77.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.
In-depth analysis
Looking at totals, the model sees 53.1% for three or more goals and 77.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With St. Gilloise favoured at 74.9%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
What was the score in St. Gilloise vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
How is this probability calculated?
Is this a betting tip?
More Pro League, Correct Score
Related
Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
