Ekstraklasa
Slask WroclawSlask WroclawLLLLL
Full time2-0Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1011:15UK
Wieczysta KrakowWieczystaLDWLL

Slask Wroclaw 2-0 Wieczysta Krakow over / under 2.5 goals: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined51%
Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined49%

Result

Slask Wroclaw2-0Wieczysta Krakow
2 goals before half-timeSlask Wroclaw 2, Wieczysta Krakow 0
Over 2.5Under 3.5

We called Over 2.5 at 51.0% and it missed. We called Under 3.5 at 71.1% and it landed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 2.5 goals51.0%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Model leanOver 2.551.0%
Under 2.549.0%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 92.8% 7.2%
1.5 goals 76.0% 24.0%
2.5 goals 51.0% 49.0%
3.5 goals 28.9% 71.1%
4.5 goals 13.9% 86.1%
5.5 goals 5.8% 94.2%

Team goal lines

Slask Wroclaw over 0.5
78.4%
Slask Wroclaw over 1.5
45.3%
Slask Wroclaw over 2.5
20.0%
Wieczysta Krakow over 0.5
69.3%
Wieczysta Krakow over 1.5
33.1%
Wieczysta Krakow over 2.5
11.7%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.2%

0

16.8%

1

25.0%

2

22.1%

3

15.0%

4

13.3%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Slask WroclawBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 5/5
Wieczysta KrakowBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Slask WroclawSlask WroclawLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-4
L
Loss · 2-3

0 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses

Wieczysta KrakowWieczystaLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Match outlook

PickSlask Wroclaw44.8%
Draw26.5%
Wieczysta Krakow28.7%

The model leans Slask Wroclaw to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 24,254 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 54.4% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 56.5%✗ 62.3%✗ 52.0%✗ 55.7%✓ 58.7%✓ 65.3%✗ 55.1%✓ 56.0%✗ 58.7%✗ 63.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 56.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 62.3%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 52.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 55.7%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 58.7%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 2.5 goals at 51.0%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Slask Wroclaw have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded, Wieczysta Krakow 1.4 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 51.0% for over 2.5 and 76.0% for at least two goals. Slask Wroclaw have gone over 2.5 in 5 of their last 5, Wieczysta Krakow in 4 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 51.0% for three or more goals and 76.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Slask Wroclaw favoured at 44.8%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

44.8%Favoured: Slask Wroclaw
55.0%Both Teams to Score
51.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 51.0% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 51.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSlask Wroclaw are the model’s pick on the result at 44.8%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Wieczysta KrakowWieczysta Krakow
Statistic
Slask Wroclaw
Wieczysta Krakow
goals scored per game
1.3
1.5

goals conceded per game
2.0
1.9

Over 2.5 rate
81.8%
72.7%

1st-half goals per game
0.3
0.4

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Were there over 2.5 goals in Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Krakow?
We rated Over 2.5 goals at 51.0%. The match finished with 2 goals (2-0), under 2.5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ekstraklasa, Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 goals predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.