Ekstraklasa
Wisla PlockWisla PlockWWLWL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1011:15UK
Piast GliwicePiast GliwiceWLWDW

Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined57.5%
Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined42.5%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Under 2.5 goals57.5%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.542.5%
Model leanUnder 2.557.5%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 90.1% 9.9%
1.5 goals 69.4% 30.6%
2.5 goals 42.5% 57.5%
3.5 goals 21.7% 78.3%
4.5 goals 9.3% 90.7%
5.5 goals 3.4% 96.6%

Team goal lines

Wisla Plock over 0.5
67.8%
Wisla Plock over 1.5
31.3%
Wisla Plock over 2.5
10.7%
Piast Gliwice over 0.5
71.2%
Piast Gliwice over 1.5
35.4%
Piast Gliwice over 2.5
13.1%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.9%

0

20.7%

1

26.9%

2

20.8%

3

12.4%

4

9.0%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Wisla PlockBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 2/5
Piast GliwiceBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Wisla PlockWisla PlockLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

Piast GliwicePiast GliwiceLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-1

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Wisla PlockWisla Plock wins
0Draws
3Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice wins
1.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
1 – 0
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
2 – 0
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
1 – 0
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
1 – 0
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
0 – 2
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice

Match outlook

Wisla Plock32.8%
Draw29.1%
PickPiast Gliwice38.2%

The model leans Piast Gliwice to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 27,165 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 47.1% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.8%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✓ 55.3%✓ 54.9%✓ 56.5%✗ 62.3%✗ 52.0%✗ 55.7%✓ 58.7%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Under 55.8%Miss
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27Under 51.1%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Under 50.7%Miss
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Over 55.3%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Over 54.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Under 2.5 goals at 57.5%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. The goals picture is built on form: Wisla Plock have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, Piast Gliwice 1.8 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 42.5% for over 2.5 and 69.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.4 goals a game. Wisla Plock have gone over 2.5 in 2 of their last 5, Piast Gliwice in 3 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 42.5% for three or more goals and 69.4% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Piast Gliwice favoured at 38.2%, a competitive game tends to open up.

38.2%Favoured: Piast Gliwice
49.0%Both Teams to Score
42.5%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.5% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 42.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPiast Gliwice are the model’s pick on the result at 38.2%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

AI experts on Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Open paper-trading picks from our model-strategy experts on this market, a transparent lab, never advice.

Expert Pick
totals_trader v1.0 Under 2.5 goals
under_specialist v1.1 Under 2.5 goals

See all experts & their track records

Wisla PlockWisla Plock

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
Statistic
Wisla Plock
Piast Gliwice
goals scored per game
0.9
1.8

goals conceded per game
1.5
1.5

Over 2.5 rate
45.5%
58.3%

1st-half goals per game
0.5
0.8

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 42.5% for Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice.
How often have Wisla Plock gone over 2.5 recently?
Wisla Plock have gone over 2.5 in 2 of their last 5, Piast Gliwice in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ekstraklasa, Over / Under 2.5 Goals

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.