Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08DDLWL
Full time2-1Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1016:00UK
AalesundAalesundWLWLW

Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Aalesund both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes58.2%
Both teams to score: No41.8%

Result

Sarpsborg 082-1Aalesund
1 goals before half-timeSarpsborg 08 0, Aalesund 1
Yes

We called Yes at 58.2% and it landed.

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes58.2%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean58.2%
No41.8%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 58.4%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Sarpsborg 08 scored
1.6
Sarpsborg 08 conceded
2.2
Aalesund scored
2.2
Aalesund conceded
1.6

Each team to score

Sarpsborg 08 to score85.0%
Sarpsborg 08 2+ goals56.6%
Aalesund to score67.9%
Aalesund 2+ goals31.4%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.3%

0

13.6%

1

22.7%

2

22.4%

3

17.0%

4

17.6%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Sarpsborg 08BTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5
AalesundBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08Last 5
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 4-2
L
Loss · 0-3

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

AalesundAalesundLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 2-4
W
Win · 4-1

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08 wins
0Draws
2AalesundAalesund wins
4.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
AalesundAalesund
2 – 4
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
AalesundAalesund
3 – 2
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
3 – 1
AalesundAalesund
AalesundAalesund
1 – 3
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
1 – 2
AalesundAalesund

Match outlook

PickSarpsborg 0854.6%
Draw23.4%
Aalesund22.0%

The model leans Sarpsborg 08 to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 34,665 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 58.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Sarpsborg 08 have averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded, Aalesund 2.2 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 58.4% for over 2.5 and 81.1% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.4 goals a game. Sarpsborg 08 have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Aalesund in 4 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 58.4% for three or more goals and 81.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Sarpsborg 08 favoured at 54.6%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

54.6%Favoured: Sarpsborg 08
58.2%Both Teams to Score
58.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 58.2% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 58.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSarpsborg 08 are the model’s pick on the result at 54.6%, a lean on probability, never on price.
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08

This season

2026 · Recorded results.

AalesundAalesund
Statistic
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesund
BTTS rate
60.9%
87.0%

clean sheets
21.7%
4.3%

goals scored per game
1.2
1.7

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 58.2%. Both teams scored, final score 2-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Eliteserien, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.