Ligue 2Rodez vs Pau FC Corners
Result
Settled, final score 2-2. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 45.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 70.1% for over 7.5 to 16.9% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.0%. On the corner count, Rodez are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.6%, with a level count at 10.9%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 70.1% | 29.9% |
| 8.5 corners | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| 9.5 corners | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| 10.5 corners | 34.6% | 65.4% |
| 11.5 corners | 24.8% | 75.3% |
| 12.5 corners | 16.9% | 83.1% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
71.9%
56.3%
40.9%
58.3%
41.0%
26.5%
Corner handicap
| Rodez line | Rodez | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| -0.5 | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| +0.5 | 65.5% | 34.5% |
| +1.5 | 75.3% | 24.8% |
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Rodez.
In-depth analysis
By team, Rodez over 4.5 corners sits at 56.3% and Pau FC at 41.0%.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Rodez vs Pau FC?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 46.0% for Rodez vs Pau FC.
Which team will win the corner count in Rodez vs Pau FC?
Before kickoff, the model rated Rodez to win the corner count at 54.6%, with a level count at 10.9%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 21,548 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Ligue 2, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.