Ligue 2Sochaux vs 
Nantes Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 42.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 67.3% for over 7.5 to 14.8% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.0%. Between the two sides, Sochaux are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 50.8%, with a level count at 11.3%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 67.3% | 32.7% |
| 8.5 corners | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| 9.5 corners | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| 10.5 corners | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| 11.5 corners | 22.2% | 77.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 14.8% | 85.2% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
67.9%
51.5%
36.2%
59.0%
41.7%
27.1%
Corner handicap
| Sochaux line | Sochaux | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| -0.5 | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| +0.5 | 62.1% | 37.9% |
| +1.5 | 72.5% | 27.6% |
This season (2026/27)
Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Sochaux.
In-depth analysis
Split by side, Sochaux over 4.5 corners sits at 51.5% and Nantes at 41.7%. This season Sochaux have averaged 2.6 corners won a game and Nantes 4.8.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Sochaux vs Nantes?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 42.7% for Sochaux vs Nantes.
Which team will win the corner count in Sochaux vs Nantes?
The model rates Sochaux to win the corner count at 50.8%, with a level count at 11.3%.
How many corners do Sochaux and Nantes average this season?
Sochaux have won 2.6 corners a game this season and Nantes 4.8.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 21,548 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Ligue 2, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.